Part of: US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina

Set Handicap: Michelsen (-1.5) vs Cina (+1.5)

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,065.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

96% bettor scaling into Cina

A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate is adding to a Cina position alongside five linked wallets, making this a strong coordinated conviction signal.

  • This bettor has won 96% of 3,000 resolved positions and earned about $820,000 in profit.
  • The wallet is adding to an existing Cina position at 31¢, despite current odds near 33%.
  • Six linked wallets share a funder, reinforcing the coordinated Cina thesis.

$1,065 on Cina | Wallet win rate: 96%

94% winner makes $25K thin-market bet

A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate placed a fresh $25,000 wager in an extremely thin market, making this a strong copy-trade signal.

  • This bettor has won 503 of 534 resolved positions, with $8.5 million in lifetime profit.
  • The $25,000 Michelsen bet is over 220 times the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a thin market.
  • Michelsen is already up 7 percentage points over the past day, corroborating the bettor’s direction.

$25,000 on Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9f15...bdb3 Outcome 26351210, $8,157 (80% win rate)
  2. 0x9c76...c926 Outcome 26351210, $7,500 (92% win rate)
  3. 0xfb07...e2cc Outcome 26351210, $5,410
  4. 0xc34b...9296 Outcome 26351210, $3,434 (96% win rate)
  5. 0x5b62...d87f Outcome 26351210, $1,000 (81% win rate)
  6. 0x7547...d158 Outcome 26351210, $600
  7. 0x7091...96f8 Outcome 26351210, $109 (48% win rate)
  8. 0x4a3f...4333 Outcome 26351210, $75 (98% win rate)
  9. 0x3da8...be26 Outcome 26351210, $38
  10. 0x1120...563e Outcome 26351210, $21

Related Theses

Knicks win big over Spurs

Covers 12 related markets

Spurs win in a blowout

Covers 18 related markets

Spurs blow out Knicks

Covers 17 related markets

High-scoring close Netherlands-Sweden match

Covers 4 related markets

Ecuador routs Curaçao decisively

Covers 3 related markets

France dominates Iraq early

Covers 6 related markets

Japan routs Tunisia convincingly

Covers 5 related markets

France wins high-scoring shootout

Covers 4 related markets

Norway wins big over Iraq

Covers 5 related markets

Norway Senegal ends with four goals

Covers 3 related markets

Set Handicap: Michelsen (-1.5) vs Cina (+1.5)

ResolvedUS Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina$26,065 tracked2 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Federico Cina in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Michelsen" if Alex Michelsen wins by 2 or more sets than Federico Cina, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Cina." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Alex Michelsen can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Cina." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.

Price History — “Michelsen
71¢
53¢
34¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Set Handicap: Michelsen (-1.5) vs Cina (+1.5)

22d ago

$1,065 on Cina at 31¢

Set Handicap: Michelsen (-1.5) vs Cina (+1.5)

22d ago

$25,000 on Michelsen at 71¢

Related Theses