Part of: Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen
Set Handicap: Michelsen (-1.5) vs Wawrinka (+1.5)
This Polymarket tennis market covers the set handicap for Alex Michelsen vs Stan Wawrinka at the Geneva Open: Michelsen -1.5 sets against Wawrinka +1.5 sets. It resolves to Michelsen only if he wins by 2 or more sets based on the final completed score; otherwise it resolves to Wawrinka, with final resolution scheduled for May 27, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $1,164 in smart money and 1 smart money signal for this market, while live odds may change as the match approaches.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Stan Wawrinka in the Geneva Open, originally scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Michelsen" if Alex Michelsen wins by 2 or more sets than Stan Wawrinka, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Wawrinka." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,164.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
New profitable sports wallet
A 3-day-old wallet with early profit and repeat large flagged bets bought Wawrinka on a thin tennis handicap market, representing over half of 24h volume.
- This 3-day-old bettor is already up $1,826 with 6 wins in 7 resolved bets.
- They have now been flagged 3 times for large bets, with $7,015 total across those positions.
- This $1,164 buy was 54% of the market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.
$1,164 on Wawrinka | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0xbb9b...8aed — Wawrinka, $1,862 (86% win rate)
- 0x5b62...d87f — Michelsen, $1,000
- 0xa2dd...e1b2 — Wawrinka, $500
- 0xff34...694b — Michelsen, $460 (58% win rate)
- 0x84f6...2e01 — Michelsen, $385
- 0x13f0...a50f — Michelsen, $277 (100% win rate)
- 0x7547...d158 — Michelsen, $216
- 0xedf7...4003 — Michelsen, $40 (79% win rate)
- 0x200f...7a96 — Wawrinka, $33
- 0x237f...e76e — Michelsen, $20
