Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Ofner (+1.5)
This Polymarket-style tennis market tracks whether Alex de Minaur will beat Sebastian Ofner by 2 or more sets in their Barcelona Open match on April 14, 2026. The market resolves to Minaur if he wins by at least a two-set margin; otherwise it resolves to Ofner. It is scheduled to resolve by April 21, 2026, and current smart money activity shows $1,470 tracked with a recent alert noting a profitable new wallet buying Minaur.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Sebastian Ofner in the Barcelona Open, scheduled for April 14 2026. This market will resolve to "Minaur" if Alex de Minaur wins by 2 or more sets than Sebastian Ofner, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Ofner." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,470.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable new wallet buying Minaur
A very new wallet with early profits and repeated large bets just made another sizable buy in a thin tennis handicap market, suggesting conviction worth tracking despite the small sample size.
- This new wallet has already been flagged 8 times, is up $1.6K, and has won its first 4 resolved bets
- It put $1.47K into Minaur in a market that had only about $1.1K of 24-hour volume before the trade
- The market had already surged 26 points in a day, so this buy looks like conviction chasing a strong move
$1,470 on Minaur | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xdf0d...9f79 — Minaur, $3,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Ofner, $2,969 (50% win rate)
- 0x5f64...1bcb — Minaur, $2,219 (100% win rate)
- 0x0e1b...ecaf — Ofner, $1,287 (50% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Ofner, $1,000
- 0x6049...f14f — Minaur, $826
- 0x5e30...acbf — Ofner, $543 (69% win rate)
- 0x0a26...1851 — Minaur, $487 (72% win rate)
- 0xc3ec...e987 — Ofner, $400
- 0xa54d...deb8 — Minaur, $308
