Part of: Stuttgart Open: Tommy Paul vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Perricard (+1.5)
This prediction market covers the set handicap for Tommy Paul (-1.5) vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (+1.5) at the Stuttgart Open, with live Polymarket odds tracked on the page. It resolves to Paul if he wins by 2 or more sets; otherwise it resolves to Perricard, with final resolution scheduled for June 15, 2026. PolySpotter has tracked $60,736 in smart money and 2 smart money signals on this market.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the Stuttgart Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Paul" if Tommy Paul wins by 2 or more sets than Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Perricard." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $84,795.
Categories: Sports, Tennis, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster on underdog handicap
Strong Perricard-side flow with $24k from four wallets, a 357x pre-event volume spike, and one highly profitable serial sports trader reducing Paul exposure.
- Four wallets pushed $24k toward Perricard, with most of the money as direct buys at 51¢.
- One involved bettor has won 93% of 217 resolved positions and is up $1.8M lifetime.
- Market volume spiked 357x before the match, and Perricard’s price is already up 15.5 points in the last day.
$24,059 on Perricard
Profitable cluster backs underdog handicap
Three wallets, including large profitable sports traders, bought $41.7k of Perricard +1.5 into a previously quiet tennis handicap market with a major volume spike and price move.
- Three wallets bought $41.7k of Perricard +1.5, over 4x the market’s prior 24h volume.
- One bettor is up $212k with 8 wins in 9 resolved bets, and another is up $1.6M lifetime.
- The market has already moved 15.5 points, suggesting this cluster is driving a real repricing.
$41,736 on Perricard
Profitable tennis whale
A highly profitable wallet with an 8-of-9 resolved record put $19k on Perricard in a quiet tennis handicap market, dwarfing recent volume.
- This bettor has won 8 of 9 resolved bets and is up about $213k lifetime.
- They put $19k on Perricard, over 10x the market’s recent 24h volume flagged by the detector.
- Entry around 51¢ suggests they see Perricard as undervalued despite the market sitting near 50/50.
$19,000 on Perricard | Wallet win rate: 89%
Top Holders
- 0x5f65...2036 — Perricard, $58,039 (89% win rate)
- 0x4c8f...0942 — Paul, $33,764 (100% win rate)
- 0x73af...b880 — Paul, $22,000 (64% win rate)
- 0x9cb9...32f2 — Perricard, $18,894 (39% win rate)
- 0xf5fe...e23d — Paul, $16,628 (52% win rate)
- 0x72e1...a45d — Paul, $6,000 (98% win rate)
- 0x09b6...f48d — Paul, $6,000 (48% win rate)
- 0x86fb...03d4 — Perricard, $4,902 (57% win rate)
- 0xda2b...85fe — Perricard, $2,588 (23% win rate)
- 0x4379...2e16 — Paul, $2,171 (55% win rate)
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