Part of: Guangzhou: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Naoya Honda

Set Handicap: Petr Bar Biryukov (-1.5) vs Naoya Honda (+1.5)

This tennis prediction market covers the set handicap match between Petr Bar Biryukov (-1.5) and Naoya Honda (+1.5), scheduled for September 17, 2026, in Guangzhou. It resolves to Biryukov if he wins by at least two sets; otherwise, it resolves to Honda, with incomplete matches generally settling 50-50 under the listed rules. PolySpotter currently tracks $6,500 in smart money and one signal, including a recent 99% winner alert favoring Biryukov.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $6,500.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

99% winner scaling into Biryukov

An exceptionally profitable bettor with a 99% win rate is adding $6,500 to a thin tennis handicap market despite already holding the same outcome.

  • This bettor has won 158 of 160 resolved positions, earning $127,337 on average entry odds of 58%.
  • They added $6,500 to Petr Bar Biryukov despite the market’s low $326 daily volume and thin order book.
  • The trades increase an existing Biryukov position, signaling continued conviction from a highly successful serial cross-market trader active across 84 events.

$6,500 on Petr Bar Biryukov | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf12f...b30f Outcome 10199475, $4,602 (95% win rate)
  2. 0x2cb2...ee14 Outcome 10199475, $94 (63% win rate)
  3. 0xa373...b6dc Outcome 10199475, $93
  4. 0x1b0f...b7ae Outcome 10199475, $50
  5. 0x0235...cee5 Outcome 10199475, $11
  6. 0x8fb4...d080 Outcome 10199475, $11
  7. 0x5476...c949 Outcome 10199475, $6
  8. 0x2c47...47f5 Outcome 10199475, $5
  9. 0x0464...67da Outcome 10199475, $3 (91% win rate)
  10. 0xd9c9...6686 Outcome 10199475, $2

Related Theses

Zverev will beat Shelton

Covers 1 related market

Chelsea FC will win August 26

Covers 1 related market

Getafe-Deportivo will see two goals

Covers 1 related market

Bucsa will beat Udvardy

Covers 1 related market

Seyboth Wild will beat Martinez

Covers 1 related market

Celta Vigo will win September 13

Covers 1 related market

Barcelona wins by three-plus

Covers 1 related market

Both teams will score

Covers 1 related market

Manchester United will win September 13th

Covers 1 related market

Cerundolo will beat Struff

Covers 1 related market

Set Handicap: Petr Bar Biryukov (-1.5) vs Naoya Honda (+1.5)

21hGuangzhou: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Naoya Honda$6,500 tracked1 signalTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Petr Bar Biryukov and Naoya Honda in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Petr Bar Biryukov" if Petr Bar Biryukov wins by 2 or more sets than Naoya Honda, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Naoya Honda." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Petr Bar Biryukov can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Naoya Honda." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

Price History — “Petr Bar Biryukov
73¢
56¢
39¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Set Handicap: Petr Bar Biryukov (-1.5) vs Naoya Honda (+1.5)

6d ago

$6,500 on Petr Bar Biryukov at 60¢

Related Theses