Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Fonseca (+1.5)
This market refers to the tennis match between Casper Ruud and Joao Fonseca in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 31, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ruud" if Casper Ruud wins by 2 or more sets than Joao Fonseca, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Fonseca." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,381.
Categories: Sports, Tennis, Games
Notable Trades
Elite sports bettor
Surfacing because a highly proven sports bettor with 75% wins across 889 resolved positions and $1.39M lifetime profit bought Fonseca on the set handicap.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $1.39M lifetime.
- They have traded 108 related sports events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Entry at 55¢ implies they see Fonseca +1.5 sets as mispriced despite the market sitting near 54%.
$2,908 on Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 75%
Proven sports sharp
A highly profitable sports bettor with an 80% long-term win record is buying Ruud on a tennis handicap market.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $108k lifetime.
- They have a strong cross-market record across 26 events, suggesting repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 47¢ implies they see Ruud covering as a better-than-even opportunity.
$1,473 on Ruud | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0x1925...4654 — Ruud, $6,560 (46% win rate)
- 0xef26...05ba — Fonseca, $5,288 (75% win rate)
- 0xb7f5...c669 — Fonseca, $3,657 (47% win rate)
- 0x48de...95ba — Ruud, $3,134 (80% win rate)
- 0xc60b...d9f7 — Fonseca, $2,000
- 0x62ae...c975 — Fonseca, $1,091 (32% win rate)
- 0x7ca1...aea0 — Ruud, $850 (37% win rate)
- 0x09ad...819e — Ruud, $652 (55% win rate)
- 0x46b1...3170 — Ruud, $543
- 0x4411...985e — Ruud, $426
Related Theses
Shopify Rebellion covers spread
Covers 1 related market
Conviction wins Game 1
Covers 1 related market
MOUZ defeats G2 in BO3
Covers 1 related market
PARIVISION beats Team Yandex
Covers 1 related market
