What does Swiatek -1.5 mean in this prediction market?

Swiatek -1.5 means Iga Swiatek must win by two or more sets for the market to resolve to Swiatek. If she does not clear that handicap, the market resolves to Zheng.

When is the Swiatek vs Zheng match scheduled?

The US Open WTA match is scheduled for September 6, 2026, at 11:00 AM ET.

How does this Swiatek vs Zheng market resolve?

The market resolves to Swiatek if she wins by at least two sets based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it resolves to Zheng. If the match starts but is not completed because of retirement, default, or disqualification, it generally resolves 50-50 unless the outcome was already determined.

What smart money activity is backing Swiatek?

PolySpotter tracks $2,700 in smart money for this market and reports one smart money signal: a bettor with a 93% win rate backing Swiatek.

When does the prediction market resolve?

The listed resolution date is September 13, 2026, at 3:00 PM UTC, although the outcome may be determined earlier once the match is completed.

Part of: US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng

Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5)

This prediction market covers the US Open WTA match between Iga Swiatek and Qinwen Zheng, using a -1.5 set handicap. It resolves to Swiatek if she wins by at least two sets; otherwise, it resolves to Zheng. The match is scheduled for September 6, 2026, with market resolution by September 13, 2026. Smart money tracked is $2,700, including an alert from a bettor with a 93% win rate backing Swiatek.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,700.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

93% win-rate bettor backs Swiatek

A highly proven bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial positive edge placed a large, concentrated bet in a relatively thin market.

This bettor has won 93% of 2,593 resolved positions and is up $2.22 million.
The $2,700 wager represents 77% of the market’s 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction.
The bet was placed at 60¢ while the market currently prices Swiatek at 60%.

$2,700 on Swiatek | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

0x081e...f76e — Outcome 17280080, $4,500 (93% win rate)
0x37e9...eede — Outcome 17280080, $1,270 (78% win rate)
0xe741...a9d1 — Outcome 17280080, $595
0x1443...9e05 — Outcome 17280080, $400
0xba3a...b49a — Outcome 17280080, $316
0xd5c3...13e5 — Outcome 17280080, $166
0x921d...ea14 — Outcome 17280080, $159
0xaaeb...9ec2 — Outcome 17280080, $83 (71% win rate)
0x0113...6f26 — Outcome 17280080, $82
0xcc37...c4ea — Outcome 17280080, $71

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5)

1dUS Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng$2,700 tracked1 signalTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Iga Swiatek and Qinwen Zheng in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Swiatek" if Iga Swiatek wins by 2 or more sets than Qinwen Zheng, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Zheng." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Iga Swiatek can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Zheng." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.

Price History — “Swiatek”

61¢

55¢

49¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction