What does Tirante -1.5 vs Busta +1.5 mean?

This is a set handicap market. Tirante must win the match by at least 2 more sets than Pablo Carreno Busta for the Tirante side to win; if he does not, the Busta +1.5 side wins.

When does the Tirante vs Carreno Busta market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve by June 5, 2026, based on the final completed score of their Roland Garros ATP match.

What happens if the match is not completed?

If the match begins but is not completed, the market resolves 50-50. If it is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond the stated rules window, the market follows the cancellation terms in the market description.

What smart money is PolySpotter tracking on this market?

PolySpotter shows $10,000 in total smart money tracked and 1 recent signal. The alert headlines indicate a 92% win-rate tennis sharp backed the underdog.

Where can I see live Tirante vs Busta prediction market odds?

You can follow the live Polymarket odds and PolySpotter smart money activity on this market page as traders react to lineup news, match conditions, and betting flows.

Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Set Handicap: Tirante (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5)

This Polymarket tennis market covers the set handicap for Thiago Agustin Tirante (-1.5) vs Pablo Carreno Busta (+1.5) at Roland Garros ATP. It resolves to Tirante if he wins by 2 or more sets; otherwise it resolves to Busta, with final resolution scheduled for June 5, 2026. PolySpotter currently tracks $10,000 in smart money and 1 sharp signal, including an alert from a 92% win-rate tennis bettor backing the underdog.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,500.

Categories: Tennis, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

92% winner backs underdog

A highly profitable tennis bettor with a 92% resolved win rate put $10k on Busta in a previously quiet market during a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $713k lifetime.
They put $10k on Busta, more than 3x the market's prior 24h volume.
Entry around 49¢ implies they see Busta as better than a coin flip.

$10,000 on Busta | Wallet win rate: 92%

92% win-rate tennis sharp

Elite 92% win-rate wallet with large lifetime profit bought Busta in a thin tennis handicap market, with serial cross-market success supporting the signal.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $713K lifetime.
They bought $2.5K of Busta, equal to 82% of the market’s 24h volume.
This wallet has traded across 169 events with the same 92% win rate.

$2,500 on Busta | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 20016483, $11,656 (90% win rate)
0xb946...2671 — Outcome 20016483, $1,274 (50% win rate)
0xf12f...b30f — Outcome 20016483, $1,111
0x5e30...acbf — Outcome 20016483, $1,000 (75% win rate)
0xc60b...d9f7 — Outcome 20016483, $1,000
0x4a3f...4333 — Outcome 20016483, $980
0xa54d...deb8 — Outcome 20016483, $726
0xce2b...08fa — Outcome 20016483, $637 (83% win rate)
0x54d1...13f4 — Outcome 20016483, $372
0xfa01...f0a7 — Outcome 20016483, $300 (51% win rate)

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Set Handicap: Tirante (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5)

5dRoland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta$12,500 tracked2 signalsTennisGamesSports

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Tirante" if Thiago Agustin Tirante wins by 2 or more sets than Pablo Carreno Busta, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Busta." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.

Price History — “Busta”

101¢

68¢

34¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction