Part of: Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Jake Delaney

Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Jake Delaney

This Shanghai tennis prediction market tracks whether Pavel Kotov or Jake Delaney advances in their scheduled September 8, 2026 match. PolySpotter monitors the live market odds and smart-money activity, including $5,102 in tracked smart money and recent buying signals for both players. The market is scheduled to resolve by September 22, 2026, if no winner is determined sooner.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,719.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Proven sharp backs Kotov early

A highly experienced and profitable bettor with a 77% win rate bought Pavel Kotov at 35%, providing strong evidence of a sharp early position that has since risen to 64%.

  • This bettor wins 77% of 386 resolved trades and is up $841,717 lifetime.
  • They bought Pavel Kotov at 35%, while the market now prices him at 64%.
  • The trader has positioned across 571 events, indicating a broad and established track record rather than a one-off bet.

$5,102 on Pavel Kotov | Wallet win rate: 77%

Sharp three-wallet Kotov cluster

Three wallets, including two highly profitable sharp bettors, bought Pavel Kotov amid a 30x volume spike and 24-point price jump.

  • Three wallets committed $8,156 to Pavel Kotov, including bettors with 82% and 77% win rates across hundreds of resolved positions.
  • The buying coincided with a 30.2x volume spike and pushed Kotov up 24 percentage points.
  • The cluster's weighted entry was about 49¢ while the market is now around 56¢, indicating the trade has already moved in their favor.

$8,946 on Pavel Kotov

Three-wallet Delaney buying cluster

Three wallets committed $5,460 to Jake Delaney, including a highly profitable serial trader, though the position has moved sharply against them.

  • Three wallets bought Jake Delaney for $5,460, a meaningful 9% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • One participating bettor has a 65% win rate across 55,456 resolved trades and $48.2M in reported profit.
  • The buys were made at 52–65¢ while Delaney is now 36¢, so the thesis is currently underwater despite the coordinated conviction.

$5,460 on Jake Delaney

Proven sharp backs Kotov early

A highly experienced and profitable bettor with a 77% win rate bought Pavel Kotov at 35%, providing strong evidence of a sharp early position that has since risen to 64%.

  • This bettor wins 77% of 386 resolved trades and is up $841,717 lifetime.
  • They bought Pavel Kotov at 35%, while the market now prices him at 64%.
  • The trader has positioned across 571 events, indicating a broad and established track record rather than a one-off bet.

$2,210 on Pavel Kotov | Wallet win rate: 77%

Sharp contrarian tennis bettor

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 77% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $1,000 contrarian bet on Jake Delaney in a thin market.

  • This bettor wins 77% of 193 resolved positions and is up $412,426 lifetime.
  • They placed a fresh $1,000 bet on Jake Delaney at 35¢ despite the market now pricing him at 26%.
  • The bet represented nearly half of the market’s 24-hour volume, adding meaningful conviction in a thin market.

$1,000 on Jake Delaney | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3663...8950 Outcome 19801362, $10,000 (44% win rate)
  2. 0x565c...878d Outcome 19801362, $8,558 (76% win rate)
  3. 0x2a69...d2f7 Outcome 19801362, $7,472 (70% win rate)
  4. 0xde80...d8b9 Outcome 19801362, $4,183 (59% win rate)
  5. 0x87b1...7da1 Outcome 19801362, $4,000 (100% win rate)
  6. 0xa032...2090 Outcome 19801362, $3,294 (67% win rate)
  7. 0x66b2...0fdf Outcome 19801362, $2,700 (66% win rate)
  8. 0x98e1...3241 Outcome 19801362, $2,174 (73% win rate)
  9. 0xade2...e86d Outcome 19801362, $1,314 (86% win rate)
  10. 0x545d...c122 Outcome 19801362, $833 (66% win rate)

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Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Jake Delaney

4dShanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Jake Delaney$22,719 tracked5 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Kotov and Jake Delaney in the Shanghai, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Kotov' if Pavel Kotov advances against Jake Delaney. This market will resolve to 'Jake Delaney' if Jake Delaney advances against Pavel Kotov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Pavel Kotov
102¢
75¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Jake Delaney

2d ago

$5,102 on Pavel Kotov at 35¢

Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Jake Delaney

2d ago

$8,946 on Pavel Kotov at 49¢

Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Jake Delaney

2d ago

$5,460 on Jake Delaney at 58¢

Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Jake Delaney

2d ago

$2,210 on Pavel Kotov at 35¢

Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Jake Delaney

2d ago

$1,000 on Jake Delaney at 35¢

Related Theses