Part of: Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Pavel Kotov

Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Pavel Kotov

This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Damm and Pavel Kotov in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Damm' if Martin Damm advances against Pavel Kotov. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Kotov' if Pavel Kotov advances against Martin Damm. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,832.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market trader

A highly experienced, profitable cross-market trader sold Kotov at 88%, equivalent to backing Damm, amid a sharp volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 76% of 1,196 resolved bets and is up $141,038 lifetime.
  • They sold Kotov at 88¢, equivalent to backing Damm at 12¢, as market volume spiked 15× above average.
  • The trader has positioned across 258 events, though the current market has moved against this trade so far.

$2,058 on Martin Damm | Wallet win rate: 77%

Profitable serial bettor amid volume spike

A highly experienced, lifetime-profitable serial trader bought Kotov during a reported 408x volume spike, though the entry is close to current odds and their win rate does not clearly beat average win prices.

  • This bettor is up $8.2M across more than 110,000 resolved bets, with a 71% win rate.
  • The $5,290 Kotov buy coincided with a reported 408x volume spike; the 70¢ entry is close to the market’s current 72¢ odds.

$2,205 on Pavel Kotov | Wallet win rate: 70%

96% winner backing Damm

A highly profitable bettor with 610 resolved positions and a 96% win rate bought Martin Damm at 31¢, making this a strong-copy signal.

  • This bettor has won 583 of 610 resolved positions and is up $858,102.
  • They bought Martin Damm at 31¢, despite the market now pricing him at 28%.
  • The wallet has traded across 492 events, suggesting a sustained and broad betting record.

$1,500 on Martin Damm | Wallet win rate: 93%

Proven 83% winner adds to Damm

A proven high-performing bettor with an 83% win rate is adding to a substantial Martin Damm position at 30¢ amid a sharp volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 275 of 331 resolved positions and earned over $1M in profit.
  • They added another $4,779 to Martin Damm at 30¢, building on an existing $16,063 position.
  • Market activity spiked to over 400 times its 24-hour average.

$4,779 on Martin Damm | Wallet win rate: 83%

Profitable serial bettor amid volume spike

A highly experienced, lifetime-profitable serial trader bought Kotov during a reported 408x volume spike, though the entry is close to current odds and their win rate does not clearly beat average win prices.

  • This bettor is up $8.2M across more than 110,000 resolved bets, with a 71% win rate.
  • The $5,290 Kotov buy coincided with a reported 408x volume spike; the 70¢ entry is close to the market’s current 72¢ odds.

$5,290 on Pavel Kotov | Wallet win rate: 70%

Related Theses

Brazil wins low-scoring shutout

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Paraguay fails to win

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Austria routs Argentina after halftime

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Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless

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Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet

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Ecuador wins big to nil

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Tunisia beats Japan 3-0

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Iraq upsets toothless France

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France wins exactly 2-0

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Norway and Senegal draw

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Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Pavel Kotov

Martin Damm
0¢
Pavel Kotov
100¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Damm and Pavel Kotov in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Damm' if Martin Damm advances against Pavel Kotov. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Kotov' if Pavel Kotov advances against Martin Damm. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Pavel Kotov

2026-10-05 10:51 UTC

$2,058 on Martin Damm at 12¢

Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Pavel Kotov

2026-10-05 10:31 UTC

$2,205 on Pavel Kotov at 70¢

70¢→100¢↑30¢

Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Pavel Kotov

2026-10-05 10:13 UTC

$1,500 on Martin Damm at 31¢

Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Pavel Kotov

2026-10-05 09:47 UTC

$4,779 on Martin Damm at 30¢

Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Pavel Kotov

2026-10-05 09:40 UTC

$5,290 on Pavel Kotov at 70¢

70¢→100¢↑30¢

Related Theses

Brazil wins low-scoring shutout
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Paraguay fails to win
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Austria routs Argentina after halftime
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Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina vs. Austria: Both Te…Argentina vs. Austria: Austria…
Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless
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Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.…Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both T…Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden…
Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet
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Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Bot…Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U…
Ecuador wins big to nil
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Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O…Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half …
Tunisia beats Japan 3-0
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Spread: Japan (-2.5)Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Spread: Japan (-1.5)
Iraq upsets toothless France
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Spread: France (-4.5)France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.…Spread: France (-1.5)
France wins exactly 2-0
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France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Spread: France (-2.5)
Norway and Senegal draw
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Will Norway vs. Senegal end in…Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22…Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?