Shymkent: Ergi Kirkin vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly
This Polymarket tracks the Shymkent tennis match between Ergi Kirkin and Gilles Arnaud Bailly, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with cancellation, ties, or delays beyond 7 days resulting in different settlement rules. PolySpotter is currently tracking $1,984 in smart money activity on this market, including 1 signal tied to a 99% win-rate bettor.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ergi Kirkin and Gilles Arnaud Bailly in the Shymkent, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ergi Kirkin' if Ergi Kirkin advances against Gilles Arnaud Bailly. This market will resolve to 'Gilles Arnaud Bailly' if Gilles Arnaud Bailly advances against Ergi Kirkin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,984.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
99% win-rate bettor
A bettor with an extraordinary 99% win rate made a nearly $2k buy on a moderately thin tennis market, which is worth surfacing despite the weak automated score.
- This bettor wins 99% of their resolved trades: 270 wins and 4 losses
- They put nearly $2k on Gilles Arnaud Bailly in a market with just $8.6k total volume
- Buying at 73¢ suggests they view Bailly as more likely than the market implies
$1,984 on Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Wallet win rate: 99%
Top Holders
- 0x5912...6f45 — Gilles Arnaud Bailly, $3,415
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Gilles Arnaud Bailly, $3,414
- 0x2005...75ea — Ergi Kirkin, $3,213 (54% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Ergi Kirkin, $1,950 (73% win rate)
- 0x0e1b...ecaf — Ergi Kirkin, $1,172 (49% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Gilles Arnaud Bailly, $1,014 (80% win rate)
- 0x400d...e759 — Ergi Kirkin, $917 (92% win rate)
- 0x6aad...20ae — Gilles Arnaud Bailly, $837 (62% win rate)
- 0x7a5d...54db — Ergi Kirkin, $706 (51% win rate)
- 0xeaac...d71d — Ergi Kirkin, $577
