Part of: Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev
Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5
This market refers to the tennis match between Jannik Sinner and Alexander Zverev in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,988.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
91% winner backs Over
Worth surfacing because this is a highly proven sports/cross-market trader with a 91% resolved win rate and over $2.1M profit, even though the bet size is modest.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved bets and is up about $2.17M lifetime.
- They have traded across 356 markets in 276 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 55¢ implies they see Over 21.5 games as still mispriced despite a tight market.
$1,102 on Over | Wallet win rate: 92%
91% winner backs Over
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate bought Over 21.5 at 57¢ in a moderately liquid tennis total.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $2.17M lifetime.
- They have traded 356 markets across 276 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 57¢ implies they see Over 21.5 as meaningfully more likely than the market price.
$3,181 on Over | Wallet win rate: 92%
91% winner on tennis total
Despite the low composite score, this is a tennis total bet from a highly profitable sports wallet with a 91% resolved win rate and over $2.1M in lifetime profit.
- This bettor has won 91% of 963 resolved bets and is up $2.16M lifetime.
- The $2.7K buy is about 30% of the market’s 24h volume, making it meaningful in a smaller tennis market.
- Entry at 57¢ implies they see Over 21.5 games as more likely than current 55¢ odds suggest.
$2,705 on Over | Wallet win rate: 92%
Related Theses
NaVi wins in three maps
Covers 3 related markets
Spirit sweeps G2
Covers 3 related markets
Falcons win in three
Covers 3 related markets
Spain out, France or England win
Covers 3 related markets
Fed will not cut rates
Covers 2 related markets
