Part of: Spain vs. Argentina - More Markets
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $245,504.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
97% winner scaling into coordinated No
A highly profitable 97% win-rate bettor added $64.7K to No while 12 wallets concentrated $357K on the same outcome amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 96 of 99 resolved positions and earned nearly $4.0M in profit.
- The wallet added $64,747 to No despite already holding a $400,595 No position, showing increased conviction.
- Twelve wallets placed $357,081 on No while market volume spiked to 25 times its historical average.
$64,747 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
Four-wallet cluster scaling into No
Four wallets concentrated $68.4K into No, supported by two profitable serial traders with 78–79% win rates and the market's 22-point daily move toward No.
- Four wallets put $68,427 into No, with most purchases around 66–69¢ as No rose to 70%.
- Two participating bettors win 78% and 79% of resolved trades, with positive P&L and meaningful historical edge.
- The market has fallen 22 percentage points in one day, corroborating the concentrated move toward No.
$68,427 on No
21-0 sharp bettor scaling into Yes
A proven bettor with a 21-0 record and substantial profits is adding to an existing Yes position at 54 cents.
- This bettor has won all 21 resolved positions and is up $72,937 on $325,053 invested.
- They are adding $13,277 to an existing Yes position at 54 cents, signaling continued conviction.
- The 54-cent entry is near the market ask, with a tight 1-cent spread and substantial liquidity.
$13,277 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial cross-market trader
A highly active, profitable serial cross-market trader is making a fresh $3,507 bet on Yes, though the liquid market and modest edge reduce conviction.
- This bettor has won 72% of 1,514 resolved trades and earned $1.81 million in profit.
- The wallet has traded across 587 events and 834 markets, indicating substantial experience rather than a one-off bet.
- A fresh $3,507 Yes position was opened at 53¢, while the market currently prices Yes at 54%.
$29,454 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable serial cross-market trader
A highly active, profitable serial cross-market trader is making a fresh $3,507 bet on Yes, though the liquid market and modest edge reduce conviction.
- This bettor has won 72% of 1,514 resolved trades and earned $1.81 million in profit.
- The wallet has traded across 587 events and 834 markets, indicating substantial experience rather than a one-off bet.
- A fresh $3,507 Yes position was opened at 53¢, while the market currently prices Yes at 54%.
$18,360 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
91% win-rate serial bettor buys No
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial demonstrated edge bought No amid an 11.4x volume spike.
- This bettor has won 91% of 3,927 resolved positions and earned $2.49M in P&L.
- They bought No at 47¢ in a liquid market, implying they see meaningful value against the 54% Yes price.
- Trading across 231 events adds strong track-record context, while market volume is running 11.4x its historical average.
$2,350 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%
Sharp bettor scaling into Yes
A proven 82% win-rate bettor with substantial historical edge is adding $30,000 to an existing Yes position amid a major volume surge.
- This bettor wins 82% of trades at an average entry of 51%, with $259,142 in realized profit.
- They added $30,000 to an existing Yes position at 54%, signaling increased conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
- Market volume is running 65.7x above its historical average while Yes has moved up 2% over the day.
$30,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
Sharp bettor scaling into No
A proven sharp bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing No position, despite the highly liquid market.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades—62 of 73—and is up $16,411 overall.
- They are adding to an existing No position at 47¢, signaling continued conviction that one team will fail to score.
- The 47¢ entry implies roughly a 2.1x payout if Spain or Argentina finishes scoreless.
$1,419 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
Profitable serial cross-market trader
A highly active, profitable serial cross-market trader is making a fresh $3,507 bet on Yes, though the liquid market and modest edge reduce conviction.
- This bettor has won 72% of 1,514 resolved trades and earned $1.81 million in profit.
- The wallet has traded across 587 events and 834 markets, indicating substantial experience rather than a one-off bet.
- A fresh $3,507 Yes position was opened at 53¢, while the market currently prices Yes at 54%.
$3,507 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
Sharp bettor leads four-wallet Yes cluster
Four wallets added $13,218 to Yes, including a bettor with an 88% win rate and substantial historical edge, alongside a 13.2x volume spike.
- A bettor with an 88% win rate across 16 resolved positions is buying Yes at 52¢.
- Four wallets added $13,218 to Yes, with all already holding positions at the same price.
- Trading activity was 13.2 times the historical average, signaling unusually concentrated pre-event conviction.
$13,963 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0x8372...5223 — Outcome 43400327, $1,029,999 (80% win rate)
- 0x4d15...7a94 — Outcome 43400327, $200,000
- 0x29bb...3aa6 — Outcome 43400327, $100,000 (43% win rate)
- 0xda9b...f240 — Outcome 43400327, $100,000
- 0xdd88...dadb — Outcome 43400327, $98,544 (72% win rate)
- 0x08b2...257b — Outcome 43400327, $97,298 (50% win rate)
- 0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 43400327, $93,760 (68% win rate)
- 0xd352...56cd — Outcome 43400327, $88,298
- 0xe558...dcd2 — Outcome 43400327, $84,000 (74% win rate)
- 0xb184...b6c6 — Outcome 43400327, $71,446 (77% win rate)
Related Theses
Iran New Zealand stays low-scoring
Covers 3 related markets
Cobolli wins or Zverev sweeps
Covers 3 related markets
Argentina wins high-scoring shootout
Covers 3 related markets
Germany scores three and routs Paraguay
Covers 5 related markets
Brazil routs Scotland in shootout
Covers 5 related markets
France routs Norway with goals
Covers 4 related markets
Argentina wins big, both score
Covers 5 related markets
Bilibili wins after dropping opener
Covers 5 related markets
Vitality sweeps MOUZ
Covers 3 related markets
LYON beats Team Liquid
Covers 3 related markets
