Part of: Spain vs. Argentina - More Markets

Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $245,504.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

97% winner scaling into coordinated No

A highly profitable 97% win-rate bettor added $64.7K to No while 12 wallets concentrated $357K on the same outcome amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 96 of 99 resolved positions and earned nearly $4.0M in profit.
  • The wallet added $64,747 to No despite already holding a $400,595 No position, showing increased conviction.
  • Twelve wallets placed $357,081 on No while market volume spiked to 25 times its historical average.

$64,747 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

Four-wallet cluster scaling into No

Four wallets concentrated $68.4K into No, supported by two profitable serial traders with 78–79% win rates and the market's 22-point daily move toward No.

  • Four wallets put $68,427 into No, with most purchases around 66–69¢ as No rose to 70%.
  • Two participating bettors win 78% and 79% of resolved trades, with positive P&L and meaningful historical edge.
  • The market has fallen 22 percentage points in one day, corroborating the concentrated move toward No.

$68,427 on No

21-0 sharp bettor scaling into Yes

A proven bettor with a 21-0 record and substantial profits is adding to an existing Yes position at 54 cents.

  • This bettor has won all 21 resolved positions and is up $72,937 on $325,053 invested.
  • They are adding $13,277 to an existing Yes position at 54 cents, signaling continued conviction.
  • The 54-cent entry is near the market ask, with a tight 1-cent spread and substantial liquidity.

$13,277 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable serial cross-market trader

A highly active, profitable serial cross-market trader is making a fresh $3,507 bet on Yes, though the liquid market and modest edge reduce conviction.

  • This bettor has won 72% of 1,514 resolved trades and earned $1.81 million in profit.
  • The wallet has traded across 587 events and 834 markets, indicating substantial experience rather than a one-off bet.
  • A fresh $3,507 Yes position was opened at 53¢, while the market currently prices Yes at 54%.

$29,454 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

Profitable serial cross-market trader

A highly active, profitable serial cross-market trader is making a fresh $3,507 bet on Yes, though the liquid market and modest edge reduce conviction.

  • This bettor has won 72% of 1,514 resolved trades and earned $1.81 million in profit.
  • The wallet has traded across 587 events and 834 markets, indicating substantial experience rather than a one-off bet.
  • A fresh $3,507 Yes position was opened at 53¢, while the market currently prices Yes at 54%.

$18,360 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

91% win-rate serial bettor buys No

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial demonstrated edge bought No amid an 11.4x volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 91% of 3,927 resolved positions and earned $2.49M in P&L.
  • They bought No at 47¢ in a liquid market, implying they see meaningful value against the 54% Yes price.
  • Trading across 231 events adds strong track-record context, while market volume is running 11.4x its historical average.

$2,350 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

Sharp bettor scaling into Yes

A proven 82% win-rate bettor with substantial historical edge is adding $30,000 to an existing Yes position amid a major volume surge.

  • This bettor wins 82% of trades at an average entry of 51%, with $259,142 in realized profit.
  • They added $30,000 to an existing Yes position at 54%, signaling increased conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
  • Market volume is running 65.7x above its historical average while Yes has moved up 2% over the day.

$30,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp bettor scaling into No

A proven sharp bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing No position, despite the highly liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades—62 of 73—and is up $16,411 overall.
  • They are adding to an existing No position at 47¢, signaling continued conviction that one team will fail to score.
  • The 47¢ entry implies roughly a 2.1x payout if Spain or Argentina finishes scoreless.

$1,419 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%

Profitable serial cross-market trader

A highly active, profitable serial cross-market trader is making a fresh $3,507 bet on Yes, though the liquid market and modest edge reduce conviction.

  • This bettor has won 72% of 1,514 resolved trades and earned $1.81 million in profit.
  • The wallet has traded across 587 events and 834 markets, indicating substantial experience rather than a one-off bet.
  • A fresh $3,507 Yes position was opened at 53¢, while the market currently prices Yes at 54%.

$3,507 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

Sharp bettor leads four-wallet Yes cluster

Four wallets added $13,218 to Yes, including a bettor with an 88% win rate and substantial historical edge, alongside a 13.2x volume spike.

  • A bettor with an 88% win rate across 16 resolved positions is buying Yes at 52¢.
  • Four wallets added $13,218 to Yes, with all already holding positions at the same price.
  • Trading activity was 13.2 times the historical average, signaling unusually concentrated pre-event conviction.

$13,963 on Yes

Top Holders

  1. 0x8372...5223 Outcome 43400327, $1,029,999 (80% win rate)
  2. 0x4d15...7a94 Outcome 43400327, $200,000
  3. 0x29bb...3aa6 Outcome 43400327, $100,000 (43% win rate)
  4. 0xda9b...f240 Outcome 43400327, $100,000
  5. 0xdd88...dadb Outcome 43400327, $98,544 (72% win rate)
  6. 0x08b2...257b Outcome 43400327, $97,298 (50% win rate)
  7. 0x032e...2a9e Outcome 43400327, $93,760 (68% win rate)
  8. 0xd352...56cd Outcome 43400327, $88,298
  9. 0xe558...dcd2 Outcome 43400327, $84,000 (74% win rate)
  10. 0xb184...b6c6 Outcome 43400327, $71,446 (77% win rate)

Related Theses

Iran New Zealand stays low-scoring

Covers 3 related markets

Cobolli wins or Zverev sweeps

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Argentina wins high-scoring shootout

Covers 3 related markets

Germany scores three and routs Paraguay

Covers 5 related markets

Brazil routs Scotland in shootout

Covers 5 related markets

France routs Norway with goals

Covers 4 related markets

Argentina wins big, both score

Covers 5 related markets

Bilibili wins after dropping opener

Covers 5 related markets

Vitality sweeps MOUZ

Covers 3 related markets

LYON beats Team Liquid

Covers 3 related markets

Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score

ResolvedSpain vs. Argentina - More Markets$245,504 tracked10 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Argentina, scheduled for July 19 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Spain and Argentina each score at least one goal during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score (i.e., if one or both teams finish with zero goals). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No
73¢
59¢
45¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score

1d ago

$64,747 on No at 59¢

Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score

1d ago

$68,427 on No at 67¢

Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score

1d ago

$13,277 on Yes at 54¢

Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score

1d ago

$29,454 on Yes at 53¢

Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score

1d ago

$18,360 on Yes at 53¢

Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score

1d ago

$2,350 on No at 47¢

Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score

1d ago

$30,000 on Yes at 54¢

Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score

1d ago

$1,419 on No at 47¢

Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score

2d ago

$3,507 on Yes at 53¢

Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score

1d ago

$13,963 on Yes at 52¢

Related Theses

Iran New Zealand stays low-scoring
Wallet_0x3da47 trades 3 related markets
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4…IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st H…IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3…
Cobolli wins or Zverev sweeps
Wallet_0xc41d7 trades 3 related markets
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobo…Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs…Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Z…
Argentina wins high-scoring shootout
Wallet_0x3da47 trades 3 related markets
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Te…
Germany scores three and routs Paraguay
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Brazil routs Scotland in shootout
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Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/…Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
France routs Norway with goals
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Norway vs. France: France O/U …Spread: France (-1.5)Norway vs. France: France O/U …
Argentina wins big, both score
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Arge…Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U …Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Arge…
Bilibili wins after dropping opener
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…
Vitality sweeps MOUZ
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…
LYON beats Team Liquid
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 3 related markets
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Gam…LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5)…LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Gam…