Part of: Spain vs. Argentina - More Markets

Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $643,491.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Seven-wallet Under cluster with proven sharp bettor

Seven wallets committed nearly $70,000 to Under, with the flow driving a 15-point price rise and including a proven 80% winner with substantial edge.

  • Seven wallets bought Under for nearly $70,000, pushing its price from roughly 63–65¢ to 78¢.
  • One bettor has won 80% of 240 resolved positions, buying at average odds of 49% and earning $113,000.
  • The largest $50,000 position came from a wallet with no resolved history, while several others added to substantial existing Under holdings.

$69,929 on Under

12-wallet Over cluster with sharp bettors

A large coordinated Over position from 12 wallets includes several highly profitable bettors, notably a 98% winner and a 76% winner, despite the market moving down to 37%.

  • 12 wallets committed nearly $84,000 to Over, creating a strong one-sided position.
  • Several participants have exceptional records, including a bettor with 98% wins and another with 76% wins plus $592,560 in profit.
  • Over has fallen from roughly 42¢ to 37%, so the coordinated buyers are taking a contrarian position against recent momentum.

$83,997 on Over

New whale scaling into Over

A repeat new wallet is scaling into a nearly $485,000 Over position while an extreme pre-event volume spike suggests unusually strong conviction.

  • This repeat new wallet added nearly $485,000 to Over, bringing its existing position to roughly $1.18 million.
  • The market saw a 694x spike versus its historical trading volume, indicating unusually concentrated interest before the match.
  • The wallet has won all 3 resolved bets, though that track record is still small and the current position is already slightly underwater.

$484,565 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%

92% winner adding to Over

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial edge is adding $5,000 to an Over position at 69 cents.

  • This bettor has won 92% of 53 resolved trades, with a reported 29-point edge over implied odds.
  • They are adding $5,000 to an existing Over position, bringing their investment in the outcome above $12,000.
  • The 69¢ entry implies confidence that Spain and Argentina will score at least two combined goals; consider entries up to 79¢.

$5,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0x489c...376b Outcome 76487730, $697,791 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xa6cd...2f2c Outcome 76487730, $100,000 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x2005...75ea Outcome 76487730, $75,643 (55% win rate)
  4. 0x208c...6b98 Outcome 76487730, $63,457 (54% win rate)
  5. 0xd04d...bfc2 Outcome 76487730, $60,472 (35% win rate)
  6. 0xae73...3801 Outcome 76487730, $40,000
  7. 0xd3e7...ea94 Outcome 76487730, $35,949 (76% win rate)
  8. 0x870f...6da1 Outcome 76487730, $31,963 (86% win rate)
  9. 0x7517...0353 Outcome 76487730, $28,748 (54% win rate)
  10. 0xcc72...2888 Outcome 76487730, $24,657 (90% win rate)

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Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5

ResolvedSpain vs. Argentina - More Markets$643,491 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Argentina, scheduled for July 19 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Spain and Argentina combine to score 2 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 2, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Argentina
ARG
0
World Cup
Full Time
Spain
ESP
1
ESP 10/1ARG 28/1
Venue
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey
Attendance
80,663
Price History — “Under
60¢
45¢
30¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5

1d ago

$69,929 on Under at 65¢

Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5

1d ago

$83,997 on Over at 42¢

Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5

1d ago

$484,565 on Over at 70¢

Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5

1d ago

$5,000 on Over at 69¢

Related Theses