Part of: Spain vs. Argentina - More Markets
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $643,491.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Seven-wallet Under cluster with proven sharp bettor
Seven wallets committed nearly $70,000 to Under, with the flow driving a 15-point price rise and including a proven 80% winner with substantial edge.
- Seven wallets bought Under for nearly $70,000, pushing its price from roughly 63–65¢ to 78¢.
- One bettor has won 80% of 240 resolved positions, buying at average odds of 49% and earning $113,000.
- The largest $50,000 position came from a wallet with no resolved history, while several others added to substantial existing Under holdings.
$69,929 on Under
12-wallet Over cluster with sharp bettors
A large coordinated Over position from 12 wallets includes several highly profitable bettors, notably a 98% winner and a 76% winner, despite the market moving down to 37%.
- 12 wallets committed nearly $84,000 to Over, creating a strong one-sided position.
- Several participants have exceptional records, including a bettor with 98% wins and another with 76% wins plus $592,560 in profit.
- Over has fallen from roughly 42¢ to 37%, so the coordinated buyers are taking a contrarian position against recent momentum.
$83,997 on Over
New whale scaling into Over
A repeat new wallet is scaling into a nearly $485,000 Over position while an extreme pre-event volume spike suggests unusually strong conviction.
- This repeat new wallet added nearly $485,000 to Over, bringing its existing position to roughly $1.18 million.
- The market saw a 694x spike versus its historical trading volume, indicating unusually concentrated interest before the match.
- The wallet has won all 3 resolved bets, though that track record is still small and the current position is already slightly underwater.
$484,565 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%
92% winner adding to Over
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial edge is adding $5,000 to an Over position at 69 cents.
- This bettor has won 92% of 53 resolved trades, with a reported 29-point edge over implied odds.
- They are adding $5,000 to an existing Over position, bringing their investment in the outcome above $12,000.
- The 69¢ entry implies confidence that Spain and Argentina will score at least two combined goals; consider entries up to 79¢.
$5,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0x489c...376b — Outcome 76487730, $697,791 (100% win rate)
- 0xa6cd...2f2c — Outcome 76487730, $100,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 76487730, $75,643 (55% win rate)
- 0x208c...6b98 — Outcome 76487730, $63,457 (54% win rate)
- 0xd04d...bfc2 — Outcome 76487730, $60,472 (35% win rate)
- 0xae73...3801 — Outcome 76487730, $40,000
- 0xd3e7...ea94 — Outcome 76487730, $35,949 (76% win rate)
- 0x870f...6da1 — Outcome 76487730, $31,963 (86% win rate)
- 0x7517...0353 — Outcome 76487730, $28,748 (54% win rate)
- 0xcc72...2888 — Outcome 76487730, $24,657 (90% win rate)
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