Part of: Spain vs. Argentina - More Markets
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $949,426.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
14-wallet Under accumulation
A $600,000 Under accumulation by 14 wallets, including highly profitable bettors, drove Under odds sharply higher and represents a substantial coordinated thesis despite some existing hedges.
- Fourteen wallets bought Under for roughly $600,000, while Under odds climbed from about 62% to 79%.
- The cluster includes bettors with exceptional records, including an 89% winner with +$33,821 profit and a 92% winner with +$1.24M profit.
- Several wallets are adding to existing Under positions, indicating increased conviction rather than simple one-off trading.
$600,226 on Under
88% winner backs Under
A highly proven bettor with an 88% win rate and substantial edge placed an $8,000 Under bet amid a 41x volume spike.
- This bettor has won 88% of 2,142 resolved positions and earned $3.78 million.
- They placed an $8,000 Under bet at 59¢, showing meaningful conviction in a liquid sports market.
- Trading volume is running 41.2 times its historical average, adding support to the move.
$9,775 on Under | Wallet win rate: 88%
Sharp bettors scaling into Over
A large Over push includes several genuinely profitable bettors with strong historical edge, although opposing Under flow and existing positions make the signal mixed.
- Three Over buyers have exceptional records: 94% wins over 35 bets, 77% over 305, and 76% over 448.
- Thirteen wallets deployed $123,112 on Over, with several adding to substantial existing positions around 42¢.
- The market has fallen from roughly 42¢ to 30¢ despite the coordinated Over buying, while sizable opposing Under flow makes this a contested thesis.
$123,112 on Over
Sharp bettor scaling into Over
A proven bettor with an 83% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Over position at 41 cents.
- This bettor has won 10 of 12 resolved trades, up $4,134 while entering at an average 38% price.
- They are adding $1,958 to an existing Over position, signaling continued conviction at 41 cents.
- The $1,958 trade is meaningful despite the market's deep liquidity, though the track record is based on only 12 resolved bets.
$1,958 on Over | Wallet win rate: 83%
88% winner backs Under
A highly proven bettor with an 88% win rate and substantial edge placed an $8,000 Under bet amid a 41x volume spike.
- This bettor has won 88% of 2,142 resolved positions and earned $3.78 million.
- They placed an $8,000 Under bet at 59¢, showing meaningful conviction in a liquid sports market.
- Trading volume is running 41.2 times its historical average, adding support to the move.
$8,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 88%
Experienced trader scales into Under
An experienced, profitable serial trader made a concentrated $45,289 Under position amid a 43.5x volume spike, providing a meaningful though moderate directional signal.
- This bettor has won 63% of 3,600 resolved trades and earned over $1.1 million.
- They concentrated $45,289 across 14 Under purchases at 59¢, indicating clear conviction.
- Trading volume was 43.5 times its historical average as this position was opened.
$45,289 on Under | Wallet win rate: 63%
New whale scaling into Over
A repeat new-wallet bettor is scaling a large Over position amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the limited resolved track record makes the signal less certain.
- This 3-day-old wallet has flagged over $504,000 across four large-bet alerts and is adding to a $366,000 Over position.
- The $151,000 purchase coincided with a 609x surge over the market’s historical trading volume.
- The wallet is 1-0 on resolved bets with $316,250 in reported profit, but that track record is still very limited.
$151,066 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%
95% win-rate bettor adds to Over
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge is adding another $10,000 to an Over position at 41 cents.
- This bettor has won 78 of 82 resolved trades and is up $360,570.
- They paid an average 58% for winning positions, indicating a strong edge beyond market-implied odds.
- The additional $10,000 reinforces an existing Over position at 41 cents in a highly liquid market.
$10,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0x669d...c044 — Outcome 96709369, $866,221 (100% win rate)
- 0x8ca5...fd56 — Outcome 96709369, $476,187 (29% win rate)
- 0xbb5f...2e21 — Outcome 96709369, $366,140 (100% win rate)
- 0x7f8e...4487 — Outcome 62079784, $333,388
- 0x3dfb...abaf — Outcome 96709369, $330,936 (48% win rate)
- 0x7c1e...bab3 — Outcome 96709369, $160,070 (98% win rate)
- 0x9468...5d4b — Outcome 96709369, $84,267 (100% win rate)
- 0xfaa2...e80a — Outcome 96709369, $60,000 (78% win rate)
- 0x4f1d...8de2 — Outcome 96709369, $42,524 (78% win rate)
- 0x5540...fbf4 — Outcome 96709369, $35,095 (79% win rate)
Related Theses
Argentina advances in goalfest
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