Part of: Spain vs. Argentina - More Markets
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $28,352.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Perfect-record bettor scaling into Yes
A highly successful bettor with 69 straight wins and a 44-point edge added heavily to Yes alongside three other wallets despite the market later falling to zero.
- This bettor has won 69 of 69 resolved positions, earning $188,780 while buying at an average 56% price.
- They committed another $9,000 to Yes at 64¢, adding to an existing $14,057 Yes position.
- Four wallets bought Yes for $16,478 total, while the trader has maintained a 100% record across 91 events.
$9,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
12-wallet Yes betting cluster
A 12-wallet, $38.5K one-sided Yes cluster and extreme volume spike make this worth monitoring despite the individual wallet's only moderate record and contrary price movement.
- Twelve wallets bought Yes for a combined $38,516, creating a strong coordinated position on a rare shootout outcome.
- Trading volume was 95 times its historical average, with 28 trades concentrated around the alert.
- The featured wallet has a 61% win rate across 493 resolved bets, but its prior No position was closed at a loss, so the cluster is more compelling than the individual bettor.
$1,727 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 61%
12-wallet coordinated Yes cluster
A 12-wallet one-sided Yes cluster and 95x volume spike show notable coordinated conviction, though the trader has only a limited proven track record and the position is currently deeply underwater.
- Twelve wallets bought Yes for a combined $38,516 during a 95x volume spike.
- This wallet has placed seven positions and is up $17,306 overall, while adding to an existing Yes position.
- The $2,000 entry at 45¢ now trades near 12¢, making this a high-risk contrarian signal rather than a validated winning trade.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Sharp bettors scaling into No
A 13-wallet No cluster includes multiple highly profitable bettors and coincided with a sharp move toward No, although opposing Yes activity makes the signal less one-sided than it first appears.
- Thirteen wallets bought No for $26,402 as its price rose to 88%.
- Several participants have exceptional records, including 92% win rates across 566 and 49 resolved positions.
- The market saw a 95x volume spike, but substantial opposing Yes activity means the apparent consensus should be treated cautiously.
$15,626 on No
Top Holders
- 0x088b...21cc — Outcome 99237176, $20,000 (44% win rate)
- 0xb56d...d621 — Outcome 99237176, $14,057 (100% win rate)
- 0xb014...a357 — Outcome 99237176, $10,000 (67% win rate)
- 0x9c98...f4f4 — Outcome 99237176, $6,000 (93% win rate)
- 0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 99237176, $5,677 (68% win rate)
- 0x58a3...5336 — Outcome 99237176, $5,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x77dc...fb03 — Outcome 99237176, $4,848 (87% win rate)
- 0x5630...de7f — Outcome 99237176, $4,762 (100% win rate)
- 0x189f...4701 — Outcome 99237176, $4,406 (67% win rate)
- 0x425b...18f1 — Outcome 99237176, $4,362 (53% win rate)
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