Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $71,538.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp wallets pile into Under
A large 10-wallet Under cluster includes multiple highly profitable sports-style bettors and appears to have driven the price from 48¢ to 66¢, though the move is already well underway.
- 10 wallets bought $55k of Under, with several proven winners joining the same side.
- One wallet in the cluster wins 99% of resolved bets across 375 positions, and another wins 90% across 42.
- The Under price jumped from 48¢ to 66¢ after this flow, so this is strongest on a pullback.
$54,931 on Under
Proven bettor adding Under
A high-volume sports bettor with a strong 1,304-bet record is adding nearly $10k to an existing Under position ahead of kickoff, with a notable pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades across 1,304 bets and is up $177k lifetime.
- They are adding to an existing Under position, now with roughly $24k committed at 69¢.
- Market volume is spiking before the game, with this trade part of a 140x jump versus the historical average.
$9,650 on Under | Wallet win rate: 75%
93% winner adding Under
Serial cross-market sports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate is adding to an Under position at 69¢, though the bet is modest relative to market liquidity.
- This bettor has won 93% of 76 resolved bets and is up $91.7k lifetime.
- They have traded across 38 events and 54 markets, suggesting a repeat sports-betting process.
- They are adding to an existing Under position, bringing total exposure to about $4.8k at 69¢.
$1,957 on Under | Wallet win rate: 93%
Sharp sports bettor adding Under
Proven profitable cross-market sports bettor with a 78% resolved win rate is adding to an Under position at 69¢.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $228K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 61 events with strong results, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- This is an add-on, not a first entry — they already held Under and put another $5K in at 69¢.
$5,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0x7583...4df2 — Outcome 87591550, $70,000 (86% win rate)
- 0xa700...102b — Outcome 87591550, $61,337 (55% win rate)
- 0xec44...c92b — Outcome 87591550, $60,078 (77% win rate)
- 0xf28e...cab2 — Outcome 87591550, $21,840 (89% win rate)
- 0x44c5...8d45 — Outcome 87591550, $15,151 (79% win rate)
- 0x22f4...1e20 — Outcome 87591550, $15,000 (100% win rate)
- 0xa80e...6aa1 — Outcome 87591550, $14,000 (53% win rate)
- 0x4ed4...e181 — Outcome 87591550, $12,800 (47% win rate)
- 0x09f4...dac0 — Outcome 87591550, $12,240 (93% win rate)
- 0xe653...c4a7 — Outcome 87591550, $12,000 (75% win rate)
Related Theses
Someone wins two or three nil
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Argentina advances in nail-biter
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Spain edges Belgium in low scorer
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Morocco leads at halftime
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Both score, under four goals
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Mornar Escaldes stays low scoring
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Germany wins on June 20
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