Part of: Spain vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score
15 smart money signals detected, totaling $69,141.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp wallets buying No
Surface: three-wallet No cluster includes elite profitable sports/cross-market bettors, led by a 96% winner up $1.23M lifetime.
- The lead bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $1.23M lifetime.
- A second No buyer wins 88% of trades and is up $174k, adding credibility to the same side.
- Three wallets bought $11.1k of No at 62¢ during a major pre-game volume spike.
$11,126 on No
88% winner joins Yes cluster
Sharp 88% lifetime bettor exited No, equivalent to Yes exposure, amid coordinated Yes-side flow and a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $174K lifetime.
- Seven wallets are all on the Yes side, totaling $14.7K in the same direction.
- Market volume is running 15x above normal before kickoff, with Yes up 4 points today.
$1,476 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable soccer sharp
Surfaced because a proven profitable bettor with a 76% record and +$156k lifetime P&L is effectively buying Yes despite only a modest trade size.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up about $156k lifetime.
- They are effectively buying Yes at 38¢, siding with both teams to score.
- Their past bets beat average market odds by a wide margin, making the wallet the main signal here.
$1,112 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
High-win serial sports bettor
Surfaced because this is a high-win-rate serial sports trader making a $10k cross-market position, though lifetime P&L is negative so conviction is tempered.
- This bettor has won 88% of resolved bets, beating average market odds by a wide margin.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 33 events with over $578k in tracked volume.
- The $10.1k buy at 37¢ backs both teams to score despite the market still pricing it as unlikely.
$10,106 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%
Sharp sports bettor buying Yes
Surfaced despite a low composite score because a highly profitable sports bettor with an 85% record and $400k lifetime profit bought Yes.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $400k lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 37¢, taking the lower-probability side in a liquid sports market.
- Their long record suggests the wallet may have a real edge despite the modest $1.5k size.
$1,522 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Elite cross-market soccer bettor
Proven profitable wallet with a 77% long-run win rate is adding a Yes position as part of a larger cross-market soccer thesis.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $569K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with 140 markets across 89 events and strong results.
- This is part of a broader event position: $53K across 4 related markets.
$2,115 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%
Profitable serial sports whale
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a long track record bought $17.7k of No amid a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor has won 63% of 1,660 resolved bets and is up about $10.9M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 511 events, suggesting deep experience in event-based pricing.
- Market volume spiked 148x before kickoff, and this wallet chose No with a $17.7k entry at 63¢.
$17,652 on No | Wallet win rate: 57%
Sharp wallets buying Yes
High-score BTTS Yes cluster led by multiple profitable wallets, including an 88% serial cross-market trader, despite some opposing No flow.
- A bettor who wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $174k effectively bought Yes at 39¢.
- Five wallets put about $8k on the same side, including another 88% winner up $117k.
- This market just saw a 14x volume spike, with Yes moving up to 38% before kickoff.
$7,975 on Yes
91% win-rate bettor
Surfaced because a highly profitable 91% win-rate wallet bought Yes despite the alert having only one signal.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $42,383 lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 35¢, implying a roughly 2.9x payout if both teams score.
- The wallet has a large 436-bet track record, so the edge is more meaningful than a one-off big bet.
$1,850 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
91% win-rate bettor
Surfaced because a highly profitable 91% win-rate wallet bought Yes despite the alert having only one signal.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $42,383 lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 35¢, implying a roughly 2.9x payout if both teams score.
- The wallet has a large 436-bet track record, so the edge is more meaningful than a one-off big bet.
$1,856 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0x9243...658e — Outcome 81200028, $114,710 (87% win rate)
- 0x0d0b...c6af — Outcome 81200028, $15,903 (80% win rate)
- 0xf984...24ce — Outcome 81200028, $4,137 (45% win rate)
- 0xb3a1...3529 — Outcome 81200028, $4,130 (86% win rate)
- 0xc0df...5974 — Outcome 81200028, $3,846 (92% win rate)
- 0x02f9...f9f7 — Outcome 81200028, $2,632
- 0xbe7e...6d00 — Outcome 81200028, $2,564 (72% win rate)
- 0x1d2e...896d — Outcome 81200028, $2,512 (59% win rate)
- 0x26be...805f — Outcome 81200028, $2,410 (75% win rate)
- 0x8461...d383 — Outcome 81200028, $2,000
Related Theses
France routs England in high-scoring match
Covers 9 related markets
NaVi wins in three maps
Covers 3 related markets
Heroic sweeps Gaimin Gladiators
Covers 3 related markets
Spurs win by three
Covers 14 related markets
Spain routs in goalfest
Covers 9 related markets
Top favorites to win World Cup
Covers 4 related markets
Spirit sweeps G2
Covers 3 related markets
Falcons win in three
Covers 3 related markets
Ghana keeps it close
Covers 3 related markets
England rout Ghana in goalfest
Covers 9 related markets
