Part of: Spain vs. Saudi Arabia - More Markets
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $401,601.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports/event trader bought No at 86¢ before the market moved to 96¢, supported by cross-market positioning and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 69% of 2,462 resolved bets and is up about $120K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 85 events and 174 markets.
- They bought No at 86¢ before it moved to 96¢, suggesting the edge may already be partly priced in.
$3,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%
8-wallet No wave
Eight wallets bought $188k of No in one-sided flow on a high-volume pre-event market, with several experienced cross-market sports traders joining and the price already moving in their favor.
- Eight wallets bought the same side, putting $188k on No before the Spain–Saudi Arabia match.
- The market saw a 206x volume spike, and No has already moved from about 68¢ to 74¢ after these buys.
- Several wallets have long sports-trading histories, including bettors with 70% win rates across hundreds of resolved markets.
$188,373 on No
Sharp cluster buying longshot Yes
Four wallets, including two high-win-rate bettors, took the same long-Yes position at roughly 14¢ despite the market later dropping to 4¢.
- Four wallets put $9.6K on the same Yes outcome, all effectively betting that both teams score.
- One bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $69.7K lifetime, giving this cluster a credible sharp-wallet signal.
- The group entered around 14¢ while Yes now trades near 4¢, making this a high-risk longshot that has moved sharply against them.
$9,611 on Yes
92% winner joins No cluster
Sharp 92% win-rate wallet bought No alongside a 6-wallet one-sided cluster during a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $72,932 lifetime.
- Six wallets are all buying No, totaling $39,360 on the same side.
- Market volume spiked 45x before the game, suggesting strong pre-event positioning.
$2,482 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable whale Yes cluster
A $198k one-sided Yes cluster led by a profitable whale and accompanied by a 206x volume spike is worth surfacing, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- Four wallets put $198k on Yes, with one profitable bettor responsible for about $182k of the buying.
- This market saw a 206x volume spike, suggesting unusual pre-game positioning on a normally quieter prop.
- The cluster bought around 32¢ on average, but Yes is now 16¢, so the market has moved sharply against them.
$198,134 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xe426...2222 — Outcome 79698905, $1,104,286
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 79698905, $153,077 (94% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 79698905, $7,905 (55% win rate)
- 0xeb73...53b0 — Outcome 79698905, $5,367 (80% win rate)
- 0x410d...d831 — Outcome 79698905, $4,529 (38% win rate)
- 0x0674...f212 — Outcome 79698905, $3,042 (53% win rate)
- 0x8593...8cfb — Outcome 79698905, $2,778 (84% win rate)
- 0x11a7...2c03 — Outcome 79698905, $2,424 (72% win rate)
- 0x0e8e...c2bb — Outcome 79698905, $2,271 (67% win rate)
- 0xf070...57b8 — Outcome 79698905, $2,034 (99% win rate)
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