Part of: Spain vs. Saudi Arabia - More Markets
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $276,306.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial event trader
High-conviction Under bet from a profitable serial cross-market trader, reinforced by 13 wallets buying the same side and a major price move to 100%.
- This bettor has won 74% of 218 resolved bets and is up $57.5K lifetime.
- 13 wallets bought Under in the same window, totaling $67.3K on one side.
- Under moved from this trader’s 50¢ entry to 100¢ after heavy one-sided buying.
$2,262 on Under | Wallet win rate: 74%
13-wallet Under surge
High-score coordinated Under flow with 13 wallets, a 19.6x volume spike, and a 46-point price move, despite the individual wallet lacking a strong profit record.
- 13 wallets bought Under in the same window, totaling $67K on one side.
- The market saw a 19.6x volume spike and Under jumped 46 percentage points.
- This is a flow signal rather than a sharp-wallet signal; this wallet is 57% lifetime but down overall.
$2,356 on Under | Wallet win rate: 58%
12-wallet Under surge
A large 12-wallet cluster bought Under into a sharp 32-point move, backed by heavy event-wide cross-market activity and a 10.6x volume spike.
- 12 wallets put $51.7K on Under, driving it from much lower entries to 66¢.
- This market saw a 10.6x volume spike and a 32-point move toward Under.
- Several bettors are active across many related markets, including one serial cross-market trader winning 74% over 83 events.
$51,711 on Under
Sharp cluster buying Under
Eight wallets, including two proven high-win bettors and a 99% serial cross-market trader, aggressively moved into Under at much lower prices before the market repriced sharply.
- Eight wallets put $15.9K on Under, moving the market from the low 20¢ range to 40¢.
- One bettor wins 99% of resolved trades and is up $228K lifetime, while another wins 88%.
- The flow spans multiple related markets, suggesting a coordinated game-level thesis rather than a one-off bet.
$15,934 on Under
New whale-led Over cluster
High-conviction clustered buying on Over, led by a new repeat whale and backed by a massive pre-event volume spike despite mixed wallet track records.
- Three wallets bought $196K of Over within 68 seconds, led by a single $178K order.
- A 2-day-old repeat whale has now triggered 9 large-bet alerts totaling $302K.
- Market volume is exploding at 2,963x its historical average, and Over is up 7 points in the last day.
$196,530 on Over
Profitable 77% sports bettor
Surfaced due to a profitable wallet with a 77% resolved-bet win rate buying Under despite an otherwise modest single-signal alert.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $1,589 lifetime.
- They bought $1,050 of Under at 70¢ in a liquid World Cup totals market.
- Their past bets beat average implied odds by about 17 percentage points.
$1,050 on Under | Wallet win rate: 62%
88% winner with event thesis
Sharp sports wallet with an 88% resolved hit rate is adding a $6.5k Over 4.5 position as part of a larger $87k same-event thesis.
- This bettor has won 15 of 17 resolved positions, far above the prices they usually entered at.
- They have $87k spread across three related markets, suggesting a broader view on this game.
- Buying Over 4.5 at 29¢ is a high-upside bet that Spain and Saudi Arabia combine for 5+ goals.
$6,462 on Over | Wallet win rate: 98%
Top Holders
- 0x9d36...0e68 — Outcome 96534169, $778,057 (100% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 96534169, $82,672 (55% win rate)
- 0x4f29...7a7e — Outcome 96534169, $38,457 (55% win rate)
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 96534169, $30,898 (96% win rate)
- 0x7c1e...bab3 — Outcome 96534169, $22,282 (98% win rate)
- 0xa700...102b — Outcome 96534169, $13,215 (55% win rate)
- 0xe5f0...dc1d — Outcome 96534169, $5,000 (26% win rate)
- 0x5b75...433b — Outcome 96534169, $4,839 (52% win rate)
- 0xcc48...c120 — Outcome 96534169, $4,486 (97% win rate)
- 0x5a52...5da4 — Outcome 96534169, $3,237 (80% win rate)
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