Part of: Spain vs. Saudi Arabia - More Markets

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $276,306.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable serial event trader

High-conviction Under bet from a profitable serial cross-market trader, reinforced by 13 wallets buying the same side and a major price move to 100%.

  • This bettor has won 74% of 218 resolved bets and is up $57.5K lifetime.
  • 13 wallets bought Under in the same window, totaling $67.3K on one side.
  • Under moved from this trader’s 50¢ entry to 100¢ after heavy one-sided buying.

$2,262 on Under | Wallet win rate: 74%

13-wallet Under surge

High-score coordinated Under flow with 13 wallets, a 19.6x volume spike, and a 46-point price move, despite the individual wallet lacking a strong profit record.

  • 13 wallets bought Under in the same window, totaling $67K on one side.
  • The market saw a 19.6x volume spike and Under jumped 46 percentage points.
  • This is a flow signal rather than a sharp-wallet signal; this wallet is 57% lifetime but down overall.

$2,356 on Under | Wallet win rate: 58%

12-wallet Under surge

A large 12-wallet cluster bought Under into a sharp 32-point move, backed by heavy event-wide cross-market activity and a 10.6x volume spike.

  • 12 wallets put $51.7K on Under, driving it from much lower entries to 66¢.
  • This market saw a 10.6x volume spike and a 32-point move toward Under.
  • Several bettors are active across many related markets, including one serial cross-market trader winning 74% over 83 events.

$51,711 on Under

Sharp cluster buying Under

Eight wallets, including two proven high-win bettors and a 99% serial cross-market trader, aggressively moved into Under at much lower prices before the market repriced sharply.

  • Eight wallets put $15.9K on Under, moving the market from the low 20¢ range to 40¢.
  • One bettor wins 99% of resolved trades and is up $228K lifetime, while another wins 88%.
  • The flow spans multiple related markets, suggesting a coordinated game-level thesis rather than a one-off bet.

$15,934 on Under

New whale-led Over cluster

High-conviction clustered buying on Over, led by a new repeat whale and backed by a massive pre-event volume spike despite mixed wallet track records.

  • Three wallets bought $196K of Over within 68 seconds, led by a single $178K order.
  • A 2-day-old repeat whale has now triggered 9 large-bet alerts totaling $302K.
  • Market volume is exploding at 2,963x its historical average, and Over is up 7 points in the last day.

$196,530 on Over

Profitable 77% sports bettor

Surfaced due to a profitable wallet with a 77% resolved-bet win rate buying Under despite an otherwise modest single-signal alert.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $1,589 lifetime.
  • They bought $1,050 of Under at 70¢ in a liquid World Cup totals market.
  • Their past bets beat average implied odds by about 17 percentage points.

$1,050 on Under | Wallet win rate: 62%

88% winner with event thesis

Sharp sports wallet with an 88% resolved hit rate is adding a $6.5k Over 4.5 position as part of a larger $87k same-event thesis.

  • This bettor has won 15 of 17 resolved positions, far above the prices they usually entered at.
  • They have $87k spread across three related markets, suggesting a broader view on this game.
  • Buying Over 4.5 at 29¢ is a high-upside bet that Spain and Saudi Arabia combine for 5+ goals.

$6,462 on Over | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9d36...0e68 Outcome 96534169, $778,057 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x2005...75ea Outcome 96534169, $82,672 (55% win rate)
  3. 0x4f29...7a7e Outcome 96534169, $38,457 (55% win rate)
  4. 0x5f65...2036 Outcome 96534169, $30,898 (96% win rate)
  5. 0x7c1e...bab3 Outcome 96534169, $22,282 (98% win rate)
  6. 0xa700...102b Outcome 96534169, $13,215 (55% win rate)
  7. 0xe5f0...dc1d Outcome 96534169, $5,000 (26% win rate)
  8. 0x5b75...433b Outcome 96534169, $4,839 (52% win rate)
  9. 0xcc48...c120 Outcome 96534169, $4,486 (97% win rate)
  10. 0x5a52...5da4 Outcome 96534169, $3,237 (80% win rate)

Related Theses

England Ghana ends 1-1

Covers 3 related markets

Argentina-Austria stays low scoring

Covers 4 related markets

Tunisia keeps Japan close

Covers 4 related markets

Japan wins low-scoring match

Covers 3 related markets

Iraq covers low-scoring match

Covers 3 related markets

Croatia wins high-scoring blowout

Covers 3 related markets

Iran New Zealand odds mispriced

Covers 3 related markets

Spain routs Saudi Arabia

Covers 4 related markets

Argentina Algeria stays low-scoring

Covers 4 related markets

Belgium-Senegal ends with four goals

Covers 4 related markets

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5

ResolvedSpain vs. Saudi Arabia - More Markets$276,306 tracked7 signalsSportsFIFA World CupSoccerGames

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Saudi Arabia, scheduled for June 21 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Spain and Saudi Arabia combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5

48d ago

$2,262 on Under at 50¢

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5

48d ago

$2,356 on Under at 61¢

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5

48d ago

$51,711 on Under at 42¢

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5

48d ago

$15,934 on Under at 24¢

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5

48d ago

$196,530 on Over at 32¢

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5

48d ago

$1,050 on Under at 70¢

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5

49d ago

$6,462 on Over at 29¢

Related Theses

England Ghana ends 1-1
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 3 related markets
England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Spread: England (-1.5)
Argentina-Austria stays low scoring
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 4 related markets
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Hal…
Tunisia keeps Japan close
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 4 related markets
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5
Japan wins low-scoring match
Wallet_0x7c1ee trades 3 related markets
Spread: Japan (-1.5)Spread: Japan (-2.5)Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5
Iraq covers low-scoring match
Wallet_0x7c1ee trades 3 related markets
Spread: France (-3.5)France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5
Croatia wins high-scoring blowout
Wallet_0x7c1ee trades 3 related markets
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5
Iran New Zealand odds mispriced
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 3 related markets
Will New Zealand win on 2026-0…Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15…Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand e…
Spain routs Saudi Arabia
Wallet_0x7c1ee trades 4 related markets
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.…Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.…
Argentina Algeria stays low-scoring
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 4 related markets
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5
Belgium-Senegal ends with four goals
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 4 related markets
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half …