Part of: Spain vs. Saudi Arabia - More Markets

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5

This Polymarket-style prediction market asks whether Spain and Saudi Arabia will combine for 5 or more goals in their FIFA World Cup match on June 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. It resolves to Over if the total is 5+ goals and Under if the total is 4 or fewer, with $6,462 in smart money tracked and 1 recent smart money signal.

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Saudi Arabia, scheduled for June 21 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Spain and Saudi Arabia combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $6,462.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games

Notable Trades

88% winner with event thesis

Sharp sports wallet with an 88% resolved hit rate is adding a $6.5k Over 4.5 position as part of a larger $87k same-event thesis.

  • This bettor has won 15 of 17 resolved positions, far above the prices they usually entered at.
  • They have $87k spread across three related markets, suggesting a broader view on this game.
  • Buying Over 4.5 at 29¢ is a high-upside bet that Spain and Saudi Arabia combine for 5+ goals.

$6,462 on Over | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7c1e...bab3 Over, $22,282 (88% win rate)
  2. 0x204f...5e14 Under, $14,362 (54% win rate)
  3. 0x0346...52a5 Under, $9,870 (53% win rate)
  4. 0x2117...5c26 Over, $5,030 (44% win rate)
  5. 0xe5f0...dc1d Over, $5,000 (24% win rate)
  6. 0xe4fc...8af7 Under, $3,000 (48% win rate)
  7. 0xa697...59d5 Under, $2,759
  8. 0x3d3c...d9b0 Under, $1,500 (74% win rate)
  9. 0x7879...3653 Over, $1,291 (99% win rate)
  10. 0x9806...0367 Over, $1,000 (90% win rate)

Related Theses

Japan wins low-scoring match

Covers 3 related markets

Spain crushes Saudi Arabia

Covers 3 related markets

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5

3hSpain vs. Saudi Arabia - More Markets$6,462 tracked1 signalSportsFIFA World CupSoccerGames
Over
31¢
Under
70¢

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Saudi Arabia, scheduled for June 21 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Spain and Saudi Arabia combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Saudi Arabia
KSA
World Cup
Spain
ESP
Polymarket: 31¢
Venue
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
Price History — “Under
79¢
73¢
68¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5

5h ago

$6,462 on Over at 29¢

29¢31¢2¢

Related Theses