Part of: Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen - More Markets
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 5.5
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,331.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, UEL
Notable Trades
Three proven wallets fading Under
Three established, profitable wallets collectively sold $6,808 of Under amid a 111x volume spike and a sharp move toward Under, creating a notable contrarian Over signal despite some possible profit-taking.
- Three established bettors collectively sold $6,808 of Under, equivalent to buying Over, while the market saw a 111x volume spike.
- The trades helped drive Under up 21.5%, suggesting meaningful one-sided positioning in a relatively thin $7,968-liquidity market.
- The wallets have 66%-74% historical win rates and nearly $440,000 combined profit, though one had previously held and closed an Under position.
$6,808 on Over
Volume-spike Under bettor
A large Under bet coincided with a 111x volume spike and a 21.5-point move toward Under, though the trader's broad 55% win rate is not independently sharp.
- A $3,024 Under bet arrived during a 111x surge in market activity.
- Under probability moved 21.5 percentage points higher, supporting the direction of the trade.
- The wallet has made over $6.7 million but wins 55% of 68,152 resolved bets, so its track record is profitable rather than exceptionally sharp.
$3,024 on Under | Wallet win rate: 55%
Serial trader makes huge contrarian move
A serial cross-market trader made a large contrarian sale that sharply repriced a thin sports market, though their historical edge is modest.
- This trader has participated in 181 markets across 180 events, with 841 resolved bets and a 74% win rate.
- The $3,499 sale was over three times recent market volume and pushed Under sharply lower, signaling meaningful conviction on Over.
- The trade implies buying Over around 45¢, with the market currently pricing it near 35%.
$3,499 on Over | Wallet win rate: 71%
Top Holders
- 0x6ea6...9223 — Outcome 86692033, $3,620
- 0xa700...102b — Outcome 86692033, $1,672 (55% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 86692033, $1,262 (63% win rate)
- 0x145a...5e86 — Outcome 86692033, $1,235 (69% win rate)
- 0xdbdd...a5de — Outcome 86692033, $1,002 (57% win rate)
- 0x4bc5...e563 — Outcome 86692033, $1,000 (52% win rate)
- 0x60f6...a196 — Outcome 86692033, $1,000
- 0xa7c2...73bf — Outcome 86692033, $1,000 (77% win rate)
- 0xb6dd...7af9 — Outcome 86692033, $518 (66% win rate)
- 0x775d...6beb — Outcome 86692033, $277 (76% win rate)
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