Part of: AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio - More Markets
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
This Polymarket spread market asks whether AC Milan will beat Cagliari Calcio by 2 or more goals in their Serie A match scheduled for May 24 at 9:00 AM ET. If Milan win by at least two, the market resolves to AC Milan; any other result resolves to Cagliari Calcio, with final settlement based on the official score from legaseriea.it. PolySpotter is tracking $6,759 in smart money across 2 signals, with recent alerts showing sharp action fading the Milan spread.
In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for May 24 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "AC Milan" if AC Milan win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cagliari Calcio". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on legaseriea.it. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $86,561.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, sea
Notable Trades
97% winner backs favorite spread
Sharp sports bettor with a 36-1 resolved record and strong profit is buying AC Milan -1.5 at 49¢.
- This bettor has won 36 of 37 resolved trades and is up $31K lifetime.
- They are buying AC Milan -1.5 at 49¢, implying nearly a 2x payout if Milan win by 2+ goals.
- Their average prior winning entry was also around 49¢, suggesting this is the type of spot they have historically hit.
$1,240 on AC Milan | Wallet win rate: 97%
96% winner on sports spread
Elite sports bettor with a 96% historical win rate and $3.87M profit bought $5.5k of Cagliari +1.5 at 51¢.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $3.87M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader with $4.2M tracked across 144 events.
- A $5.5k buy at 51¢ suggests they make Cagliari +1.5 better than a coin flip.
$5,519 on Cagliari Calcio | Wallet win rate: 96%
96% winner buying underdog spread
Surfaced because a highly profitable sharp bettor with a 96% resolved-bet win rate bought Cagliari Calcio on the spread despite the alert itself being only a volume-spike signal.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $3.9M lifetime.
- They bought Cagliari Calcio at 50¢, backing AC Milan not to win by 2+ goals.
- The market saw a 631x pre-event volume spike, suggesting unusual late interest.
$3,035 on Cagliari Calcio | Wallet win rate: 96%
96% sharp fading Milan spread
Surface: a highly profitable 96% winner placed a $36.9k position on Cagliari +1.5 after activity spiked sharply in a previously quiet market.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved bets and is up $3.87M lifetime.
- They put $36.9k on Cagliari +1.5, far larger than the market’s prior quiet activity.
- Entry around 49.5¢ implies they see meaningful value in Cagliari keeping the match within one goal.
$36,866 on Cagliari Calcio | Wallet win rate: 96%
96% sharp fades Milan spread
Elite 96% win-rate sports bettor put nearly $40k on Cagliari +1.5 in a quiet market, dwarfing recent volume.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $3.87M lifetime.
- They put $39.9k on Cagliari +1.5, over 60x the market’s 24h volume.
- This is a serial cross-market sports trader with $4.16M deployed across 143 events.
$39,901 on Cagliari Calcio | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0x3fd9...1ef0 — Cagliari Calcio, $93,853 (96% win rate)
- 0x09f4...dac0 — AC Milan, $7,680 (93% win rate)
- 0xfa5f...6bfe — AC Milan, $7,531 (52% win rate)
- 0x7ea5...de7b — AC Milan, $7,280 (64% win rate)
- 0x7236...ea53 — AC Milan, $6,400 (86% win rate)
- 0x936b...7c51 — AC Milan, $5,050 (100% win rate)
- 0x374a...03ed — AC Milan, $4,800 (95% win rate)
- 0xdb83...1e50 — AC Milan, $4,746 (68% win rate)
- 0xadfb...c2ef — AC Milan, $3,000
- 0xe1a6...d584 — AC Milan, $2,800 (94% win rate)
