Spread: Adelaide United FC (-1.5)

In the upcoming Australia A-League game, scheduled for April 26 at 3:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Adelaide United FC" if Adelaide United FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Melbourne City FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on a-league.com.au. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,053.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Australian A-League

Notable Trades

84% winner in thin market

A very active serial cross-market bettor with an 84% win rate made a market-dominating $2k buy in a thin A-League spread market, suggesting conviction even though the entry was on a heavy favorite.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades across 1,035 bets and has traded 121 markets in 69 events.
  • Their $2,053 buy made up 76% of this market's 24-hour volume, which is a strong conviction signal in a thin market.
  • They bought the favorite at 89¢, a low-upside entry, so this looks more like a sharp confidence trade than a big mispricing bet.

$2,053 on Melbourne City FC | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

  1. 0x78ad...45cc Melbourne City FC, $2,313 (84% win rate)
  2. 0x204f...5e14 Adelaide United FC, $1,051 (55% win rate)
  3. 0xc291...5d74 Adelaide United FC, $899
  4. 0x664a...fc5f Adelaide United FC, $866
  5. 0xd5af...5d38 Melbourne City FC, $262 (98% win rate)
  6. 0x21b5...1db6 Melbourne City FC, $226
  7. 0x2dc8...47d0 Melbourne City FC, $139
  8. 0xeab7...b389 Adelaide United FC, $50
  9. 0x7ea5...de7b Adelaide United FC, $32 (68% win rate)
  10. 0xc53d...4346 Adelaide United FC, $30

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Adelaide United FC (-1.5)

Resolved$2,053 tracked1 signalSportsGamesSoccerAustralian A-League
Adelaide United FC
0¢
Melbourne City FC
100¢

In the upcoming Australia A-League game, scheduled for April 26 at 3:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Adelaide United FC" if Adelaide United FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Melbourne City FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on a-league.com.au. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Melbourne City FC
102¢
85¢
68¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Adelaide United FC (-1.5)

3h ago

$2,053 on Melbourne City FC at 89¢

89¢100¢11¢

Related Theses