Part of: Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club - More Markets

Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,539.

Categories: Games, Soccer, Saudi Professional League, Sports

Notable Trades

Large contrarian spread sell

A large contrarian sell from a high-volume market move is notable, though the wallet lacks a strong proven edge.

  • This wallet sold $8,095 of Al Hilal at 85¢ despite the market later rising to 88%.
  • The market saw a 713x volume spike and a roughly 45-point price breakout, making the trade unusually consequential.
  • The wallet has 321 resolved bets and $249,000 lifetime profit, but its 54% win rate is only modest evidence of an edge.

$8,095 on Al Ahli Saudi Club | Wallet win rate: 53%

Serial bettor makes large 40¢ sports bet

A highly experienced, profitable serial trader placed a substantial 40-cent bet in a quiet sports market, though their historical edge over price is modest.

  • This trader has resolved 49,996 markets, a 66% win rate, and $46.6M in lifetime profit.
  • The $7,444 wager is 2.7 times the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling meaningful conviction in a relatively quiet market.
  • Al Hilal is being bought at 40¢ after recently rising 5% in a day, with a tight 39–40¢ spread.

$7,444 on Al Hilal Saudi Club | Wallet win rate: 65%

Top Holders

  1. 0xde31...df79 Outcome 67672025, $30,000 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x076d...8d4c Outcome 67672025, $2,830 (66% win rate)
  3. 0x125a...4f02 Outcome 67672025, $167 (96% win rate)
  4. 0xe8e0...7eec Outcome 67672025, $102 (85% win rate)
  5. 0x594e...1c11 Outcome 67672025, $50 (76% win rate)
  6. 0xc7eb...da58 Outcome 67672025, $50
  7. 0x546a...1988 Outcome 67672025, $38
  8. 0xfd3e...5a7a Outcome 67672025, $30 (79% win rate)
  9. 0x5b2a...a65a Outcome 67672025, $26
  10. 0x629d...756c Outcome 67672025, $26

Related Theses

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Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring

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Real Madrid wins by exactly two

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Tigers win a low-scoring game

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Rays dominate in a low-scoring win

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Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)

ResolvedAl Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club - More Markets$15,539 tracked2 signalsGamesSoccerSaudi Professional LeagueSports

In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for September 1 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Al Hilal Saudi Club" if Al Hilal Saudi Club win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Al Ahli Saudi Club". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on slstat.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Al Ahli Saudi Club
72¢
61¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)

10d ago

$8,095 on Al Ahli Saudi Club at 15¢

Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)

10d ago

$7,444 on Al Hilal Saudi Club at 40¢

Related Theses