Part of: Argentina vs. Austria - More Markets
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
30 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,263,045.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Profitable new whale plus cluster
A 4-day-old repeat large bettor with early profit bought $8k of Argentina -1.5 alongside same-direction cluster flow, making this worth surfacing despite the liquid market.
- This 4-day-old wallet has already placed 24 flagged large bets and is up $7.8k so far.
- They bought $8k of Argentina at 32¢, adding to a $13.5k same-direction wave from 3 wallets.
- Entry at 32¢ implies a roughly 3x payout if Argentina win by 2 or more goals.
$8,000 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 40%
Sharp bettor with 5-wallet flow
Sharp 80% lifetime winner is buying Argentina -1.5 alongside one-sided flow from five wallets, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the liquid market.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $116K lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 154 events with the same 80% hit rate.
- Five wallets bought Argentina the same way for $40.5K total, with the price up 6 points today.
$2,200 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 81%
5-wallet Argentina push
Surfacing due to coordinated Argentina buying across 5 wallets plus cross-market positioning despite this wallet’s weak historical P&L.
- Five wallets are all buying Argentina -1.5, totaling $40.5k in the same direction.
- This wallet is also active across 6 related markets with $47.9k positioned on the event.
- The market has already moved toward Argentina, up 6 points today and 9.5 points this week.
$4,635 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 53%
75% winner buying spread
Surfaced because this is a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 75% record and $1.68M lifetime profit buying Argentina -1.5 at 38¢.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $1.68M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $7.3M invested across 416 events.
- Entry at 38¢ implies they see Argentina covering by 2+ as underpriced.
$4,304 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable new whale buying
A repeat new whale with a huge early profit record bought $65K of Argentina -1.5 amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This new wallet has already made 16 flagged large bets and is up $1.79M so far.
- They put $65K on Argentina -1.5 at 42¢, adding conviction despite a highly liquid market.
- Market activity is surging, with volume running 68x above its historical average.
$3,285 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp cluster nailed move
Four wallets, including two highly profitable sharp bettors, collectively took Argentina at an effective ~16¢ before the market moved to 98¢.
- Two bettors in this cluster win 85%+ of their resolved trades, including one up $59K lifetime.
- The group put $27K on Argentina covering -1.5, mostly by selling Austria at 84–86¢.
- They entered around 14–22¢ before Argentina moved all the way to 98¢.
$27,096 on Argentina
89% winner with 21-wallet flow
Elite 89% lifetime winner bought Austria alongside a large 21-wallet same-direction flow and major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $285K lifetime.
- 21 wallets bought Austria the same way, totaling about $978K in flow.
- They entered at 62¢ and Austria has already moved to 74¢, confirming strong momentum.
$1,240 on Austria | Wallet win rate: 89%
21-wallet Austria spread cluster
Strong coordinated one-sided flow: 21 wallets, including linked funding, bought Austria on the spread amid a major pre-event volume spike and favorable price move.
- 21 wallets bought the same side, totaling about $978K on Austria against the spread.
- This wallet is up $4.2M lifetime and entered at 62¢ before the market moved to 74¢.
- Volume spiked nearly 89x above normal, suggesting a major wave of pre-game positioning.
$12,350 on Austria | Wallet win rate: 55%
Sharp joins 10-wallet flow
A proven 85% winner is buying Austria alongside a large 10-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $8.4K lifetime.
- 10 wallets are all buying Austria, totaling $633.7K on the same side.
- Market volume spiked 97.6x versus normal, supporting the move into Austria at 62¢.
$1,976 on Austria | Wallet win rate: 77%
Repeat new whale plus cluster
Huge repeat new-wallet buy aligns with 6-wallet one-sided flow and a 135x pre-event volume spike on Austria +1.5.
- A 14-day-old whale bought $536k of Austria at about 61¢ after repeatedly placing large flagged bets.
- Six wallets are all betting the same way, totaling $623k on this side of the spread.
- Market volume is running 135x above normal, suggesting a broad rush into the same position.
$535,742 on Austria | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x9d36...0e68 — Outcome 45008963, $1,158,402 (100% win rate)
- 0x24c5...c428 — Outcome 45008963, $111,038 (33% win rate)
- 0xc430...1ebf — Outcome 45008963, $100,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x27f7...44b0 — Outcome 45008963, $88,260 (88% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 45008963, $50,000 (99% win rate)
- 0x2e69...858d — Outcome 45008963, $50,000 (93% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Outcome 45008963, $16,390 (94% win rate)
- 0x1a2f...647a — Outcome 45008963, $15,349 (65% win rate)
- 0xb00d...af5f — Outcome 45008963, $15,000 (66% win rate)
- 0xc3ed...9f79 — Outcome 45008963, $11,290 (39% win rate)
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