Part of: Argentina vs. Austria - More Markets

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,239.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

7-wallet Argentina push

High composite alert driven by coordinated Argentina buying across 7 wallets and a major event-volume spike, though this specific wallet has weak historical P&L and some hedging on Austria.

  • 7 wallets bought the same Argentina spread side for about $30k, creating a strong one-way flow signal.
  • Market activity spiked 35x–77x above normal around the match, suggesting unusual positioning.
  • This wallet is net long Argentina with about $16k traded, but its long-term record is weak at 53% wins and negative P&L.

$16,054 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 53%

Four-wallet cross-market push

Four wallets are taking the same Argentina -2.5 side, backed by an $81.7k cross-market event position and a sharp pre-game volume spike, though the wallets’ lifetime records are not strong.

  • Four wallets are all taking Argentina -2.5, with $8.1k placed the same way.
  • The same event has seen $81.7k of cross-market positioning across 8 markets.
  • Market volume is 63.6x above its historical pace ahead of kickoff.

$8,139 on Argentina

94% win-rate bettor

Sharp wallet override: a bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Austria at 80¢ despite only a modest trade size.

  • This bettor has won 30 of 32 resolved trades and is up $1,309 lifetime.
  • Their past wins beat market odds by about 21 percentage points on average.
  • They bought Austria at 80¢, backing Argentina to not win by 3+ goals.

$1,046 on Austria | Wallet win rate: 94%

96% winner on soccer spread

Sharp sports bettor with a 96% resolved-bet win record and positive lifetime P&L bought Austria on the spread for $2,000.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved bets and is up $36,958 lifetime.
  • They have a large 291-bet track record, making the wallet itself the strongest signal.
  • Bought Austria at 81¢, betting Argentina does not win by 3 or more goals.

$2,000 on Austria | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcd65...ee96 Outcome 10154057, $107,844 (94% win rate)
  2. 0x032e...2a9e Outcome 10154057, $50,186 (71% win rate)
  3. 0x23d8...0288 Outcome 10154057, $33,000 (86% win rate)
  4. 0x6c8c...6b71 Outcome 10154057, $22,995 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x922a...34d3 Outcome 10154057, $21,100
  6. 0xb225...3d54 Outcome 10154057, $20,000 (83% win rate)
  7. 0xdd5e...9040 Outcome 10154057, $6,019 (76% win rate)
  8. 0xf93f...f94b Outcome 10154057, $5,550 (72% win rate)
  9. 0x42c0...fe99 Outcome 10154057, $5,000 (41% win rate)
  10. 0x37ae...1002 Outcome 10154057, $4,169 (91% win rate)

Related Theses

France beats Senegal

Covers 3 related markets

Argentina wins by two

Covers 7 related markets

Uzbekistan covers low-scoring match

Covers 5 related markets

Türkiye wins 2-0

Covers 5 related markets

Algeria-Austria match gets canceled

Covers 3 related markets

Brazil wins three nil

Covers 9 related markets

Panama Croatia tied at halftime

Covers 3 related markets

DR Congo won't lose

Covers 3 related markets

Colombia keeps Portugal close

Covers 5 related markets

Canada-South Africa won't draw

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

ResolvedArgentina vs. Austria - More Markets$27,239 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 22 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Argentina" if Argentina win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Austria". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Austria
87¢
82¢
78¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

9d ago

$16,054 on Argentina at 34¢

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

9d ago

$8,139 on Argentina at 20¢

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

9d ago

$1,046 on Austria at 80¢

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

9d ago

$2,000 on Austria at 81¢

Related Theses

France beats Senegal
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Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16…Will France win on 2026-06-16?Will France vs. Senegal end in…
Argentina wins by two
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Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Uzbekistan covers low-scoring match
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DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3…DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2…DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4…
Türkiye wins 2-0
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Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5
Algeria-Austria match gets canceled
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Will Austria win on 2026-06-27…Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27…Will Algeria vs. Austria end i…
Brazil wins three nil
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Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
Panama Croatia tied at halftime
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Croatia leading at halftime?Panama leading at halftime?Panama vs. Croatia: Draw at ha…
DR Congo won't lose
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Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan e…Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06…Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-2…
Colombia keeps Portugal close
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Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5
Canada-South Africa won't draw
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Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Will South Africa win on 2026-…Will South Africa vs. Canada e…