Part of: Argentina vs. Austria - More Markets
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 22 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Argentina" if Argentina win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Austria". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,239.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
7-wallet Argentina push
High composite alert driven by coordinated Argentina buying across 7 wallets and a major event-volume spike, though this specific wallet has weak historical P&L and some hedging on Austria.
- 7 wallets bought the same Argentina spread side for about $30k, creating a strong one-way flow signal.
- Market activity spiked 35x–77x above normal around the match, suggesting unusual positioning.
- This wallet is net long Argentina with about $16k traded, but its long-term record is weak at 53% wins and negative P&L.
$16,054 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 58%
Four-wallet cross-market push
Four wallets are taking the same Argentina -2.5 side, backed by an $81.7k cross-market event position and a sharp pre-game volume spike, though the wallets’ lifetime records are not strong.
- Four wallets are all taking Argentina -2.5, with $8.1k placed the same way.
- The same event has seen $81.7k of cross-market positioning across 8 markets.
- Market volume is 63.6x above its historical pace ahead of kickoff.
$8,139 on Argentina
94% win-rate bettor
Sharp wallet override: a bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Austria at 80¢ despite only a modest trade size.
- This bettor has won 30 of 32 resolved trades and is up $1,309 lifetime.
- Their past wins beat market odds by about 21 percentage points on average.
- They bought Austria at 80¢, backing Argentina to not win by 3+ goals.
$1,046 on Austria | Wallet win rate: 94%
96% winner on soccer spread
Sharp sports bettor with a 96% resolved-bet win record and positive lifetime P&L bought Austria on the spread for $2,000.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved bets and is up $36,958 lifetime.
- They have a large 291-bet track record, making the wallet itself the strongest signal.
- Bought Austria at 81¢, betting Argentina does not win by 3 or more goals.
$2,000 on Austria | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Argentina, $107,844 (93% win rate)
- 0x23d8...0288 — Argentina, $33,000 (81% win rate)
- 0x6c8c...6b71 — Argentina, $22,995 (100% win rate)
- 0x922a...34d3 — Argentina, $21,100
- 0xb225...3d54 — Argentina, $20,000 (89% win rate)
- 0xdd5e...9040 — Argentina, $6,019 (86% win rate)
- 0xf93f...f94b — Argentina, $5,550 (83% win rate)
- 0x42c0...fe99 — Argentina, $5,000 (49% win rate)
- 0x37ae...1002 — Argentina, $4,169 (76% win rate)
- 0x629d...756c — Argentina, $3,953
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