Part of: Argentina vs. Algeria - More Markets
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $57,204.
Categories: Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable wallets fading blowout
High-scoring coordinated Algeria fade with multiple profitable serial sports traders, including a 77% winner effectively buying Algeria at 14¢ after Argentina's price spiked.
- A bettor who wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $58.8k effectively bought Algeria at 14¢.
- Five wallets put $28.4k on Algeria’s side, including two profitable serial cross-market traders.
- Argentina’s price just surged about 67 points, making this a sharp contrarian fade after a huge move.
$28,393 on Algeria
$1.7M-winning sports sharp
A highly profitable serial sports trader bought Argentina -2.5 during a major pre-event volume spike, despite the market later moving against the entry.
- This bettor has won 73% of 212 resolved bets and is up about $1.7M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 375 events and over $6.5M invested.
- They bought Argentina -2.5 at 41¢ during a 45x volume spike, though the market is now lower at 32¢.
$4,791 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 84%
Three-wallet spread cluster
Coordinated $21.5k buying on Algeria +2.5 came alongside a 45x pre-game volume spike and a serial cross-market bettor with a strong hit rate, though one large participant has poor lifetime P&L.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $21.5k during a 45x pre-game volume surge.
- A serial cross-market bettor is involved, with bets across 97 events and a 68% win rate.
- Most fills were around 61–67¢, and the position now trades near 68¢.
$21,478 on Algeria
85% winner backs spread
Sharp sports wallet with an 85% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Algeria on the +2.5 spread at 80¢.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $888 on $2,821 invested.
- They bought Algeria at 80¢, betting Argentina will not win by 3 or more goals.
- The wallet has 46 resolved positions, so the track record is meaningful enough to follow.
$1,114 on Algeria | Wallet win rate: 85%
87% winner buying longshot
Sharp sports/cross-market bettor with an 87% record and $666k lifetime profit bought Argentina -2.5 at 23¢.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $666k lifetime.
- They have traded 196 events across 225 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Entry at 23¢ implies a potential ~4.3x payout if Argentina win by 3+ goals.
$1,428 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 11364839, $20,879 (56% win rate)
- 0xbc43...96d3 — Outcome 11364839, $20,000 (76% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 11364839, $19,336 (72% win rate)
- 0x8325...19cc — Outcome 11364839, $8,077 (60% win rate)
- 0xd48a...6e90 — Outcome 11364839, $6,924 (69% win rate)
- 0x896e...53f2 — Outcome 11364839, $5,147 (85% win rate)
- 0x2067...c315 — Outcome 11364839, $3,576
- 0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 11364839, $2,893 (72% win rate)
- 0xc718...64a8 — Outcome 11364839, $2,536 (61% win rate)
- 0x2c2a...267e — Outcome 11364839, $2,322 (80% win rate)
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