Part of: Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC - More Markets

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $48,038.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, Premier League, EPL, Games

Notable Trades

Coordinated Villa buyers moving early

Three wallets coordinated roughly $6,561 toward Aston Villa, including a serial cross-market trader, and the position has already moved from 65-67% to 76%.

  • Three wallets bought Aston Villa for $6,561 at 65-67%, with the outcome now priced around 76%.
  • One participating bettor has won 71% of more than 60,000 resolved trades and is up $6.27 million lifetime.
  • The flow is directionally consistent with a separate $1,000 Arsenal sell, reinforcing the Villa thesis.

$6,561 on Aston Villa FC

85% win-rate serial bettor

A highly profitable serial trader with an 85% win rate and substantial edge is buying Arsenal at 39%, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 85% of trades across 257 resolved positions and is up $520,631.
  • They are buying Arsenal’s -1.5 spread at 39%, while the market currently implies only a 38% chance.
  • The wallet has traded 72 events for $191,408, showing a repeatable cross-market betting approach.

$1,560 on Arsenal FC | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable traders converge on Arsenal

Three wallets deployed $24,366 on Arsenal to cover the -1.5 spread, including two highly profitable serial traders, amid an extreme volume spike.

  • Three wallets bought Arsenal FC at 39¢ for a combined $24,366, creating a strong one-sided signal.
  • Two participants have exceptional long-term records: one is up $6.2M at a 71% win rate, while another is up $46.0M at 66%.
  • The trades arrived during a 1,741x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually concentrated conviction before the match.

$33,492 on Arsenal FC

Profitable serial trader scales into Aston Villa

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 74% win rate is adding $6,424 to an existing Aston Villa position at 63%.

  • This bettor has won 74% of 82 resolved bets and is up $1.54 million.
  • They added $6,424 to an existing Aston Villa position, signaling increased conviction on the underdog.
  • The 63¢ entry implies roughly a 1.6x payout if Aston Villa avoids a two-goal defeat.

$6,424 on Aston Villa FC | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 13177497, $27,873 (65% win rate)
  2. 0x974c...3269 Outcome 13177497, $19,239 (84% win rate)
  3. 0x032e...2a9e Outcome 13177497, $10,252 (74% win rate)
  4. 0xd06a...101d Outcome 13177497, $9,800 (92% win rate)
  5. 0x9703...69c2 Outcome 13177497, $9,020
  6. 0x4572...5e86 Outcome 13177497, $8,500 (76% win rate)
  7. 0x4362...9e47 Outcome 13177497, $7,651 (42% win rate)
  8. 0x47c7...cac7 Outcome 13177497, $6,272 (90% win rate)
  9. 0xfb07...e2cc Outcome 13177497, $5,000
  10. 0xdb83...1e50 Outcome 13177497, $4,796 (65% win rate)

Related Theses

Groningen dominate in high-scoring win

Covers 3 related markets

Arsenal-Chelsea exceeds 2.5 goals

Covers 1 related market

Schalke keeps Bayern within two

Covers 1 related market

Crystal Palace will not win

Covers 1 related market

VfB Stuttgart will win

Covers 1 related market

Sheffield Wednesday will win

Covers 1 related market

Chelsea won’t cover against Leeds

Covers 1 related market

Chelsea will not win

Covers 1 related market

Wolfsburg will not win

Covers 1 related market

Burton Albion will not win

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

ResolvedAston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC - More Markets$48,038 tracked4 signalsSportsSoccerPremier LeagueEPLGames

In the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for August 31 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arsenal FC" if Arsenal FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Aston Villa FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Aston Villa FC
65¢
63¢
60¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

11d ago

$6,561 on Aston Villa FC at 67¢

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

11d ago

$1,560 on Arsenal FC at 39¢

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

11d ago

$33,492 on Arsenal FC at 39¢

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

12d ago

$6,424 on Aston Villa FC at 63¢

Related Theses