Part of: FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC - More Markets

Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,605.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Ligue 1

Notable Trades

Profitable serial timer buying late

Strong serial last-minute sports bettor with $6.83M lifetime profit bought Monaco -1.5 right before resolution despite the market moving below their entry.

  • This bettor is up $6.83M lifetime with 72% wins across 3,843 resolved bets.
  • They have a pattern of last-minute bets: 31 near-resolution trades totaling $177,912 with a +21% edge.
  • They bought AS Monaco FC -1.5 at 51¢ just before close, while the market is now cheaper at 44¢.

$4,151 on AS Monaco FC | Wallet win rate: 65%

Perfect-record cluster buying Monaco

Three wallets bought nearly $10k of Monaco -1.5 about an hour before kickoff, including a 36-for-36 profitable bettor with extensive cross-market history.

  • A bettor in this cluster has won 36 of 36 resolved bets and is up about $57k.
  • Three wallets bought the same side for nearly $10k at 51¢, about 27% of the market’s 24h volume.
  • The market has already moved +13.5 points this week, supporting the Monaco -1.5 momentum.

$9,955 on AS Monaco FC

New repeat bettor backing Monaco

A 6-day-old repeat bettor with early profit is making another meaningful Monaco spread bet in a low-volume market that has already moved upward.

  • This 6-day-old wallet has already been flagged 7 times, with $13.7K in notable bets.
  • The bettor is up $894 on their only resolved position so far, though the track record is still very short.
  • This $1.5K buy is about 42% of the market’s 24h volume, and Monaco’s price is up 11.5% this week.

$1,500 on AS Monaco FC | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 56313471, $17,832 (65% win rate)
  2. 0x2e01...0875 Outcome 56313471, $3,725 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x5c10...6482 Outcome 56313471, $2,941 (100% win rate)
  4. 0x8a6c...0b3f Outcome 56313471, $2,503 (50% win rate)
  5. 0x8f12...70d4 Outcome 56313471, $1,261 (92% win rate)
  6. 0xf20f...3b33 Outcome 56313471, $1,082
  7. 0xe6fb...ee11 Outcome 56313471, $430
  8. 0xabbf...126c Outcome 56313471, $230
  9. 0x75fc...0a4c Outcome 56313471, $226 (79% win rate)
  10. 0xa96f...0cd0 Outcome 56313471, $196

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Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)

ResolvedFC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC - More Markets$15,605 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLigue 1

In the upcoming Ligue 1 game, scheduled for May 2 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AS Monaco FC" if AS Monaco FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FC Metz". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on ligue1.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)

45d ago

$4,151 on AS Monaco FC at 51¢

Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)

45d ago

$9,955 on AS Monaco FC at 51¢

Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)

45d ago

$1,500 on AS Monaco FC at 51¢

Related Theses