Part of: Athletics vs. San Diego Padres

Spread: Athletics (-3.5)

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and San Diego Padres, scheduled for May 24 at 4:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game by 4 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "San Diego Padres". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "San Diego Padres". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $18,440.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume serial sports bettor bought Padres spread at 50¢ before the market moved sharply to 68¢.

  • This bettor is up $3.1M lifetime across more than 6,600 resolved trades.
  • They bought San Diego Padres at 50¢ before the market moved to 68¢.
  • They have traded 1,330 markets across 614 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.

$2,370 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 69%

Profitable sports cluster

Four profitable, high-volume sports wallets bought Padres +3.5 together during a major pre-game volume spike, with price already moving sharply from ~48% to 66%.

  • Four seasoned bettors all bought Padres +3.5, totaling $12.3K in the same direction.
  • The strongest wallet has won 71% of 8,425 resolved bets and is up $12.0M lifetime.
  • They entered around 48¢ and the market has already moved to 66¢, suggesting the trade is being validated.

$12,267 on San Diego Padres

Profitable serial sports bettor

Highly profitable serial sports trader with a huge track record bought Padres +3.5 on a relatively quiet market with a bet equal to most of recent volume.

  • This bettor has won 71% of 8,422 resolved bets and is up about $12.0M lifetime.
  • They are a massive cross-market sports trader, with over $17.0M placed across 2,255 markets.
  • This $2.4K buy was about 74% of the market’s recent volume, showing meaningful conviction.

$2,372 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 71%

$13M profitable sports bettor

A highly profitable, high-volume bettor with $13.2M lifetime profit bought Padres +3.5 at 45¢ despite the alert's weak standalone signal.

  • This bettor has made $13.2M lifetime profit across 2,769 resolved bets.
  • They win 64% of resolved bets, with a long track record rather than a small sample.
  • The $1.4K buy is meaningful in a market with only $3.2K total volume so far.

$1,430 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5268...135d Athletics, $16,895 (53% win rate)
  2. 0xbca0...9705 San Diego Padres, $9,489 (64% win rate)
  3. 0x204f...5e14 Athletics, $4,889 (54% win rate)
  4. 0x32ed...f960 San Diego Padres, $4,689 (69% win rate)
  5. 0x5d1d...afd2 San Diego Padres, $4,398 (55% win rate)
  6. 0xfe78...0319 Athletics, $4,164 (71% win rate)
  7. 0x9495...9a27 Athletics, $3,577 (64% win rate)
  8. 0xdb25...eb12 Athletics, $2,879 (51% win rate)
  9. 0x2005...75ea San Diego Padres, $2,614 (56% win rate)
  10. 0x93ac...2761 San Diego Padres, $2,082

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Thunder win by seven

Covers 9 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Spread: Athletics (-3.5)

ResolvedAthletics vs. San Diego Padres$18,440 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Athletics
0¢
San Diego Padres
100¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and San Diego Padres, scheduled for May 24 at 4:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game by 4 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "San Diego Padres". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "San Diego Padres". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

ATH
5
27-26
Final
SD
2
31-21
ATH +144SD -175O/U 7.5Polymarket: 0¢
Venue
Petco Park, San Diego
Attendance
41,799
Price History — “San Diego Padres
102¢
84¢
65¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Athletics (-3.5)

3h ago

$2,370 on San Diego Padres at 50¢

50¢100¢50¢

Spread: Athletics (-3.5)

3h ago

$12,267 on San Diego Padres at 48¢

48¢100¢52¢

Spread: Athletics (-3.5)

3h ago

$2,372 on San Diego Padres at 46¢

46¢100¢54¢

Spread: Athletics (-3.5)

3h ago

$1,430 on San Diego Padres at 45¢

45¢100¢55¢

Related Theses