Part of: Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City - More Markets

Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)

This Polymarket MLS spread market asks whether Austin FC will beat Sporting Kansas City by 2 or more goals on May 16 at 8:30 PM ET. If Austin FC win by at least two, the market resolves to Austin FC; any other result resolves to Sporting Kansas City, with settlement based on the official final score on mlssoccer.com. PolySpotter is tracking $31,445 in smart money across 5 signals, including activity from elite sports sharps and MLS-focused bettors.

In the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for May 16 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Austin FC" if Austin FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sporting Kansas City". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on mlssoccer.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,770.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, MLS

Notable Trades

Elite MLS sharp

Elite sports bettor with an 87% win rate and $2.3M profit bought Sporting Kansas City on the spread.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $2.3M lifetime.
  • They have traded 646 related sports events with the same 87% win rate.
  • Bought Sporting Kansas City at 57¢, and the market has already moved to 60¢.

$1,331 on Sporting Kansas City | Wallet win rate: 87%

Elite sports bettor cluster

Surface because a highly profitable sports bettor with an 87% record and $2.3M profit joined a 3-wallet same-direction buy on Sporting Kansas City.

  • A bettor who wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $2.3M is buying Sporting Kansas City.
  • Three wallets bought the same side for $9.2k total, showing coordinated conviction.
  • This wallet is a serial sports trader across 646 events with an 87% hit rate.

$9,235 on Sporting Kansas City

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 63% record and $1.85M lifetime profit is backing Austin FC amid a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 63% of 308 resolved trades and is up about $1.85M lifetime.
  • They are active across 4 markets in this game with $21.5K positioned, suggesting a broader match thesis.
  • Market volume is running 62x above normal before kickoff, supporting the idea that sharper money is moving in.

$3,150 on Austin FC | Wallet win rate: 63%

Elite sports bettor buying SKC

Surfacing because a highly profitable sports bettor with an 89% win rate and $2.4M lifetime profit bought Sporting Kansas City, with strong cross-market history and pre-game volume spike support.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $2.4M lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports trader across 665 events with an 89% hit rate.
  • Entry at 59¢ implies they see Sporting Kansas City as the safer side of the spread.

$2,324 on Sporting Kansas City | Wallet win rate: 89%

Profitable serial sports trader

A highly profitable serial sports trader put $5.4k on Austin FC -1.5 in a quiet market, making a bet over 3x the market’s 24h volume.

  • This bettor is up $1.85M lifetime across more than $16M wagered.
  • They have traded 184 markets across 152 events, showing a long-running cross-market sports strategy.
  • The $5.4k entry was 3.5x the market’s 24h volume, a strong conviction bet in a quiet spread market.

$5,441 on Austin FC | Wallet win rate: 63%

Elite MLS bettor

Elite sports bettor with an 87% record and $2.3M profit bought Sporting Kansas City +1.5 for over 3x the market's 24h volume.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $2.3M lifetime.
  • They put $5.3k on Sporting Kansas City +1.5, more than 3x this market’s 24h volume.
  • This is a serial cross-market sports trader with $6.0M deployed across 783 markets.

$5,289 on Sporting Kansas City | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdb22...6478 Austin FC, $122,806 (63% win rate)
  2. 0x27f7...44b0 Sporting Kansas City, $48,300 (87% win rate)
  3. 0x204f...5e14 Sporting Kansas City, $23,264 (55% win rate)
  4. 0x39d3...9ef0 Sporting Kansas City, $8,225 (44% win rate)
  5. 0x6d3c...d294 Sporting Kansas City, $5,753 (51% win rate)
  6. 0xd696...8a49 Sporting Kansas City, $4,199 (89% win rate)
  7. 0x0346...52a5 Sporting Kansas City, $3,379 (52% win rate)
  8. 0x9495...9a27 Sporting Kansas City, $3,229 (64% win rate)
  9. 0x9c76...c926 Sporting Kansas City, $2,000 (89% win rate)
  10. 0xadfb...c2ef Sporting Kansas City, $2,000

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Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)

ResolvedAustin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City - More Markets$26,770 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesSoccerMLS
Austin FC
41¢
Sporting Kansas City
60¢

In the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for May 16 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Austin FC" if Austin FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sporting Kansas City". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on mlssoccer.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Sporting Kansas City
69¢
58¢
47¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)

59m ago

$1,331 on Sporting Kansas City at 57¢

57¢60¢3¢

Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)

1h ago

$9,235 on Sporting Kansas City at 57¢

57¢60¢3¢

Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)

1h ago

$3,150 on Austin FC at 42¢

42¢41¢1¢

Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)

1h ago

$2,324 on Sporting Kansas City at 59¢

59¢60¢1¢

Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)

1h ago

$5,441 on Austin FC at 40¢

40¢41¢1¢

Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)

1h ago

$5,289 on Sporting Kansas City at 60¢

60¢60¢

Related Theses