Part of: Australia vs. Türkiye - More Markets

Spread: Australia (-1.5)

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,064.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

80% serial sports trader

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 80% resolved win rate bought Australia -1.5 aggressively, though the market has since repriced sharply lower.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up about $400K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $5.6M bet across 342 events.
  • The 65¢ entry was far above the prior 16¢ range, but current odds are much lower, so price confirmation matters.

$1,500 on Australia | Wallet win rate: 80%

73% serial sports bettor

A highly active serial sports bettor with a 73% record is buying Türkiye amid a large pre-event volume spike and strong price momentum.

  • This bettor has won 519 of 714 resolved trades and is profitable across $871K invested.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 93 events and $188K tracked in similar setups.
  • Türkiye has seen heavy market support, with 24h volume near $181K and odds up about 8 points today.

$1,564 on Türkiye | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0x779a...b689 Outcome 44492136, $3,710 (73% win rate)
  2. 0xeadf...26ef Outcome 44492136, $2,100 (89% win rate)
  3. 0x45e1...5934 Outcome 44492136, $2,046 (99% win rate)
  4. 0x7ea5...de7b Outcome 44492136, $1,711 (62% win rate)
  5. 0x5822...8774 Outcome 44492136, $1,337 (100% win rate)
  6. 0x4446...1fd0 Outcome 44492136, $1,053 (79% win rate)
  7. 0xfa95...6ac7 Outcome 44492136, $1,000 (97% win rate)
  8. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 44492136, $798 (66% win rate)
  9. 0x0f34...7684 Outcome 25929945, $625 (44% win rate)
  10. 0xf002...9386 Outcome 44492136, $526

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Spread: Australia (-1.5)

ResolvedAustralia vs. Türkiye - More Markets$3,064 tracked2 signalsFIFA World CupSportsGamesSoccer

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 14 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Australia" if Australia win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Türkiye". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Spread: Australia (-1.5)

1h ago

$1,500 on Australia at 65¢

Spread: Australia (-1.5)

2h ago

$1,564 on Türkiye at 87¢

Related Theses