Part of: Austria vs. Jordan - More Markets

Spread: Austria (-2.5)

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,003.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster buying underdog spread

Three wallets bought $17.5k of Jordan +2.5 into a huge pre-event volume spike, including one perfect-record wallet and one profitable serial cross-market bettor.

  • Three wallets put $17.5k on the same side, backing Jordan to stay within 2 goals.
  • One wallet is 17-for-17 with $24k profit, and another is up $201k across 296 resolved bets.
  • Market volume is 149x above its normal pace, suggesting a real pre-game positioning surge.

$15,003 on Jordan

Sharp bettor buying underdog spread

Sharp sports wallet with an 82% record and positive lifetime P&L is buying Austria -2.5 at 25¢ despite the market drifting down.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $10.3K lifetime.
  • Their average winning entry was 43¢, so a 25¢ buy suggests they see meaningful mispricing.
  • Entry at 25¢ pays about 4x if Austria win by 3 or more goals.

$1,000 on Austria | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcd65...ee96 Outcome 43185872, $78,911 (94% win rate)
  2. 0xd1ed...d7cb Outcome 43185872, $14,445 (59% win rate)
  3. 0xb379...2ed2 Outcome 43185872, $10,000
  4. 0x160b...4296 Outcome 43185872, $5,369 (78% win rate)
  5. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 43185872, $4,926 (63% win rate)
  6. 0x37ae...1002 Outcome 43185872, $4,000 (76% win rate)
  7. 0xd34a...78c7 Outcome 43185872, $3,800 (78% win rate)
  8. 0x17cd...7423 Outcome 43185872, $3,317 (95% win rate)
  9. 0x5672...7312 Outcome 43185872, $2,000 (62% win rate)
  10. 0xb57f...0c96 Outcome 43185872, $1,380 (75% win rate)

Related Theses

Spain avoids four-point win

Covers 2 related markets

Belgium wins by multiple goals

Covers 1 related market

France won't win World Cup

Covers 1 related market

England will not win

Covers 1 related market

Morocco wins on July 4

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Austria (-2.5)

ResolvedAustria vs. Jordan - More Markets$16,003 tracked2 signalsSportsFIFA World CupGamesSoccer

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 17 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Austria" if Austria win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Jordan". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Spread: Austria (-2.5)

53d ago

$15,003 on Jordan at 71¢

Spread: Austria (-2.5)

53d ago

$1,000 on Austria at 25¢

Related Theses