Part of: New Zealand vs. Belgium - More Markets

Spread: Belgium (-3.5)

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $36,111.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster already hit

High-conviction Belgium spread buying from a 3-wallet cluster included a 36-for-36 profitable bettor, but the market has already moved to 100%, leaving little copy value now.

  • A bettor with a 36-for-36 record put $20,000 on Belgium at 50¢.
  • Three wallets bought the same side for $28,392 as volume spiked 47x above normal.
  • The trade has already moved from about 49¢ to 100¢, so the edge appears mostly gone now.

$28,392 on Belgium

7-wallet New Zealand cluster

High composite alert driven by a 7-wallet one-sided New Zealand BUY cluster, linked funding, and a major pre-event volume spike despite the main wallet's weak long-term P&L.

  • Seven wallets are buying the same side, totaling $27.5K on New Zealand to cover.
  • Two of those wallets share a funder, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than isolated bets.
  • Volume spiked up to 46.8x normal ahead of the match, with this wallet adding $6.5K.

$6,506 on New Zealand | Wallet win rate: 54%

96% winner backs underdog spread

Sharp-wallet override: this is a proven sports bettor with a 96% win rate and $1.44M profit buying New Zealand +3.5 at 74¢.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $1.44M lifetime.
  • They have deployed over $6.0M historically, suggesting this is a proven high-volume sports wallet.
  • Entry at 74¢ backs New Zealand to stay within 3 goals or win outright.

$1,213 on New Zealand | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1341...0853 Outcome 44011212, $20,000 (85% win rate)
  2. 0xbb0b...3790 Outcome 44011212, $5,264 (76% win rate)
  3. 0x9348...6664 Outcome 44011212, $3,672 (72% win rate)
  4. 0x9aca...61fd Outcome 44011212, $2,016 (88% win rate)
  5. 0xcf45...c794 Outcome 44011212, $1,900 (82% win rate)
  6. 0xd81e...e3d0 Outcome 44011212, $1,639 (95% win rate)
  7. 0xb207...839b Outcome 44011212, $1,420
  8. 0x5c18...2f76 Outcome 44011212, $1,346
  9. 0xbfba...583c Outcome 44011212, $1,343 (79% win rate)
  10. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 44011212, $722 (59% win rate)

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Spread: Belgium (-3.5)

ResolvedNew Zealand vs. Belgium - More Markets$36,111 tracked3 signalsFIFA World CupSportsGamesSoccer

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 26 at 11:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Belgium" if Belgium win the game by 4 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "New Zealand". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Spread: Belgium (-3.5)

57d ago

$28,392 on Belgium at 49¢

Spread: Belgium (-3.5)

58d ago

$6,506 on New Zealand at 67¢

Spread: Belgium (-3.5)

58d ago

$1,213 on New Zealand at 74¢

Related Theses