Part of: Lions vs. Bills
Spread: Bills (-20.5)
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $30,462.
Categories: Sports, NFL, Games
Notable Trades
Serial winner scaling into Bills
A highly experienced serial trader with an 80% win rate is adding $4,000 to an existing Bills position despite the price falling to 44%.
- This bettor has won 80% of 689 resolved trades across 244 markets.
- They added $4,000 to an existing $8,000 Bills position, showing increased conviction after the price declined.
- The trade entered at 50¢ while the market now prices Bills at 44%, creating a potentially favorable entry if the move reflects temporary weakness.
$1,120 on Bills | Wallet win rate: 79%
Serial winner scaling into Bills
A highly experienced serial trader with an 80% win rate is adding $4,000 to an existing Bills position despite the price falling to 44%.
- This bettor has won 80% of 689 resolved trades across 244 markets.
- They added $4,000 to an existing $8,000 Bills position, showing increased conviction after the price declined.
- The trade entered at 50¢ while the market now prices Bills at 44%, creating a potentially favorable entry if the move reflects temporary weakness.
$4,000 on Bills | Wallet win rate: 79%
Serial trader re-enters Bills
A highly experienced serial trader with an 80% win rate made a fresh $4,000 Bills purchase amid a 50.8x volume spike, though the accompanying sale appears to be position management.
- This bettor has won 80% of 689 resolved trades across 187 events.
- They bought $4,000 of Bills at 50¢ while the market saw a 50.8x volume spike and a 40-point one-day move.
- The $6,338 sale at 85¢ likely reflects profit-taking, but the fresh Bills purchase shows continued exposure near 50¢.
$10,338 on Bills | Wallet win rate: 79%
Linked cluster scaling into Lions
Four wallets, including linked accounts and profitable repeat bettors, concentrated $10.5K on Lions as the market moved sharply in their direction.
- Four wallets tied to two funders put $10,512 behind Lions, creating strong coordinated conviction.
- Two repeat bettors in the cluster are lifetime winners with more than $3.7M and $10.0M in reported profit.
- Lions rose roughly 29.5 percentage points recently, while several wallets added to existing Lions positions.
$11,747 on Lions
Large bet in a thin market
A $3,256 Bills bet represents over ten times the recent market volume, with the price subsequently rising from 42% to 46%.
- A $3,256 wager was more than 10 times the market's recent 24-hour volume, signaling meaningful conviction.
- The Bills price has risen from 42¢ to 46% after the trade, supporting the bettor's direction.
- This highly active trader has won 64% of 62,165 resolved bets and is up nearly $50 million lifetime.
$3,256 on Bills | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0x4f29...7a7e — Outcome 67864862, $16,238 (56% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 67864862, $7,762 (64% win rate)
- 0xeb29...fe87 — Outcome 67864862, $5,199 (71% win rate)
- 0x2942...c7fe — Outcome 67864862, $2,594
- 0x161a...4103 — Outcome 67864862, $590 (95% win rate)
- 0xdfb2...c37c — Outcome 67864862, $560
- 0xcb9f...a6c0 — Outcome 67864862, $417
- 0x7c1b...85c8 — Outcome 67864862, $400
- 0x39c6...0ac1 — Outcome 67864862, $275 (95% win rate)
- 0xf030...dbba — Outcome 67864862, $236 (94% win rate)
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