Part of: Lions vs. Bills

Spread: Bills (-5.5)

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $79,239.

Categories: Sports, NFL, Games

Notable Trades

Coordinated Lions whale cluster

Five wallets committed nearly $92,000 to Lions at even odds during a 348x volume spike, led by a highly profitable bettor.

  • Five wallets bought Lions for a combined $91,855, including one $58,000 position at 50¢.
  • The flow arrived during a 348x historical volume spike and spans multiple markets in the same event.
  • The largest bettor has a 64% win rate across 62,162 resolved trades and nearly $50 million in lifetime profit.

$44,585 on Lions

Large bettor scaling into Lions

A large existing bettor added $19.4K to Lions during a 129x volume spike while expressing a view across six related markets, though the wallet's track record is only moderately strong.

  • This wallet added $19,404 to Lions at 50¢, increasing an existing $38,808 position.
  • Trading across six related markets shows a broader event thesis, with $60,020 positioned overall.
  • The market saw a 129x surge versus its historical volume, although the bettor's 55% win rate is only modestly above random outcomes.

$19,404 on Lions | Wallet win rate: 55%

94% winner adds to Bills

A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $12,750 to Bills at 51%, despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 162 resolved trades and is up $1.26 million.
  • The wallet is adding $12,750 to an existing Bills position at 51%, signaling increased conviction.
  • Its historical results imply a 36% edge over the average odds paid across 162 positions.

$12,750 on Bills | Wallet win rate: 94%

391-win serial cross-market bettor

A highly consistent bettor with 391 wins and a large historical edge is making a fresh $2,500 bet on Lions at even odds.

  • This bettor has won 100% of 391 resolved trades and is up nearly $989,000.
  • The wallet has demonstrated its strategy across 460 events and $3.2 million in total trading.
  • Lions were bought at 50¢, implying a meaningful edge if this bettor’s track record carries over.

$2,500 on Lions | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb3cf...0ebd Outcome 57750465, $365,925 (81% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 57750465, $140,565 (64% win rate)
  3. 0x49a4...addf Outcome 57750465, $30,272 (100% win rate)
  4. 0xf559...f462 Outcome 57750465, $25,490 (92% win rate)
  5. 0x2a69...d2f7 Outcome 57750465, $21,004 (71% win rate)
  6. 0x9703...69c2 Outcome 57750465, $11,562
  7. 0x1b8f...cca7 Outcome 57750465, $8,000 (63% win rate)
  8. 0xf5e1...5ad0 Outcome 57750465, $6,888 (49% win rate)
  9. 0x1a38...8fb5 Outcome 57750465, $6,500 (71% win rate)
  10. 0x3b62...5cc8 Outcome 57750465, $5,000 (100% win rate)

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Real Salt Lake will not win

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Qatar won’t lead at halftime

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Spread: Bills (-5.5)

ResolvedLions vs. Bills$79,239 tracked4 signalsSportsNFLGames

In the upcoming NFL football game between Lions and Bills, scheduled for September 17 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bills" if the Bills win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Lions". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Bills
52¢
44¢
36¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Bills (-5.5)

3d ago

$44,585 on Lions at 50¢

Spread: Bills (-5.5)

3d ago

$19,404 on Lions at 50¢

Spread: Bills (-5.5)

3d ago

$12,750 on Bills at 51¢

Spread: Bills (-5.5)

3d ago

$2,500 on Lions at 50¢

Related Theses