Part of: Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox

Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for August 7 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Athletics". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Athletics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,728.

Categories: baseball, Sports, Games, MLB

Notable Trades

Serial sports trader scaling into Boston

A highly active sports trader with a large historical sample scaled into Boston at 45–55¢ during an extreme pre-event volume surge, though their long-run results show only modest edge.

  • This bettor has 2,784 resolved bets, a 65% win rate, and is up $160,447 lifetime.
  • They bought $3,801 of Boston across two entries, increasing exposure as the price moved from 45¢ to 55¢.
  • Market activity was 7,346× its historical average, adding momentum to the directional trade.

$2,163 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 46%

Serial sports trader scaling into Boston

A highly active sports trader with a large historical sample scaled into Boston at 45–55¢ during an extreme pre-event volume surge, though their long-run results show only modest edge.

  • This bettor has 2,784 resolved bets, a 65% win rate, and is up $160,447 lifetime.
  • They bought $3,801 of Boston across two entries, increasing exposure as the price moved from 45¢ to 55¢.
  • Market activity was 7,346× its historical average, adding momentum to the directional trade.

$3,801 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 46%

Three-wallet Red Sox conviction

Three wallets committed $20.8K to Boston at 55¢ amid an extreme volume spike, including two highly profitable long-term bettors and one wallet adding to an existing position.

  • Three wallets bought $20,764 of Boston at 55¢, creating a strong one-sided position in a relatively quiet market.
  • The trade coincided with an extraordinary 1,893× historical volume spike before the game.
  • Two participating bettors are substantially profitable overall, including one with a 65% win rate and $160K lifetime profit.

$20,764 on Boston Red Sox

Top Holders

  1. 0x974c...3269 — Athletics, $14,622 (83% win rate)
  2. 0x32ed...f960 — Athletics, $5,433 (67% win rate)
  3. 0x684b...8409 — Athletics, $4,317 (92% win rate)
  4. 0x8753...85ad — Athletics, $3,480 (72% win rate)
  5. 0x8adb...e4f6 — Athletics, $3,000 (79% win rate)
  6. 0x5811...0976 — Athletics, $2,157 (45% win rate)
  7. 0x2005...75ea — Athletics, $1,937 (58% win rate)
  8. 0x8239...d9a3 — Athletics, $1,087 (97% win rate)
  9. 0x5633...59bc — Athletics, $800 (95% win rate)
  10. 0xb88a...f6ad — Athletics, $800 (89% win rate)

Related Theses

City-Bournemouth total lands 4–5

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Kia Tigers Will Defeat Kiwoom Heroes

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Portland Timbers Will Win

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Philadelphia Union will win on August 13

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Phillies-Twins game stays low-scoring

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Detroit-Cincinnati game goes high-scoring

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NYCFC-Necaxa stays under four goals

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IND vs. NE goes over 37.5

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Game total lands exactly 174

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CF América will win on August 13

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox$26,728 tracked3 signalsbaseballSportsGamesMLB
Boston Red Sox
100¢
Athletics
0¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for August 7 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Athletics". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Athletics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

ATH
1
45-71
Final
BOS
13
64-51
ATH +240BOS -260O/U 8.5Polymarket: 100¢
Venue
Fenway Park, Boston
Attendance
37,227

Notable Trades

Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

2026-08-07 23:15 UTC

$2,163 on Boston Red Sox at 55¢

55¢→100¢↑45¢

Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

2026-08-07 17:13 UTC

$3,801 on Boston Red Sox at 55¢

55¢→100¢↑45¢

Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

2026-08-07 17:02 UTC

$20,764 on Boston Red Sox at 55¢

55¢→100¢↑45¢

Related Theses