Part of: Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for August 10 at 7:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,462.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

95% winner backs Toronto

A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial positive edge is making a fresh $2,003 wager on Toronto at near-market price.

  • This bettor has won 95% of 1,610 resolved positions and is up $773,577 lifetime.
  • The $2,003 Toronto wager comes from a serial cross-market trader active across 258 events.
  • Entry at 53¢ implies a roughly 47% chance of loss, while the market currently prices Toronto near 52%.

$2,003 on Toronto Blue Jays | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly experienced bettor with 3,298 resolved trades, a 68% win rate, and nearly $912,000 in profits is backing Boston at 46¢.

  • This bettor has won 68% of 3,298 resolved trades and is up nearly $912,000.
  • They are buying Boston at 46¢, while the market currently implies only a 46% chance of covering.
  • The $1,228 position comes from a trader active across 256 events and 284 markets.

$1,228 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 46%

94% win-rate serial bettor

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 94% win rate and $3.25M lifetime P&L made a large fresh wager on Toronto at 52%.

  • This bettor wins 94% of trades, with 391 wins in 418 resolved positions and $3.25M in profit.
  • The $18,231 wager is over 66 times the market's 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction despite the market being near evenly priced.
  • This is a serial cross-market trader active across 529 events and 611 markets, with $7.5M in total trading volume.

$18,231 on Toronto Blue Jays | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x42ab...0d2d — Boston Red Sox, $1,321
  2. 0x5b63...11a4 — Boston Red Sox, $1,004 (71% win rate)
  3. 0xe216...7448 — Boston Red Sox, $666 (67% win rate)
  4. 0x4c8c...01c9 — Boston Red Sox, $400
  5. 0x1bec...8d52 — Boston Red Sox, $215 (93% win rate)
  6. 0xc291...5d74 — Boston Red Sox, $151 (66% win rate)
  7. 0x09ee...90a4 — Boston Red Sox, $144 (81% win rate)
  8. 0x0460...7137 — Boston Red Sox, $82
  9. 0x3459...caa6 — Boston Red Sox, $67
  10. 0xb1a3...d760 — Boston Red Sox, $40

Related Theses

Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Marlins win, runs stay low

Covers 3 related markets

Yankees win in a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Tigers win a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Brewers win in a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Tigers win a low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Panthers keep it close

Covers 3 related markets

NATO and Russia avoid clash

Covers 3 related markets

Rays win, total not eight

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays$21,462 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Boston Red Sox
0¢
Toronto Blue Jays
100¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for August 10 at 7:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

BOS
1
64-54
Final
TOR
2
57-63
BOS -162TOR +151O/U 8Polymarket: 0¢
Venue
Rogers Centre, Toronto
Attendance
42,511

Notable Trades

Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

2026-08-10 23:18 UTC

$2,003 on Toronto Blue Jays at 53¢

53¢→100¢↑47¢

Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

2026-08-10 15:04 UTC

$1,228 on Boston Red Sox at 46¢

Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

2026-08-10 13:16 UTC

$18,231 on Toronto Blue Jays at 52¢

52¢→100¢↑48¢

Related Theses

Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…
Marlins win, runs stay low
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Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…
Yankees win in a high-scoring game
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Will there be a run scored in …Seattle Mariners vs. New York …Seattle Mariners vs. New York …
Tigers win a high-scoring game
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Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…
Brewers win in a high-scoring game
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Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…
Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game
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Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Di…Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Di…Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (…
Tigers win a low-scoring game
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Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-…Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland G…Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland G…
Panthers keep it close
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Spread: Bears (-4.5)Spread: Bears (-2.5)Spread: Bears (-3.5)
NATO and Russia avoid clash
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NATO x Russia military clash b…NATO x Russia military clash b…NATO x Russia military clash b…
Rays win, total not eight
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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red …Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red …Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red …