Part of: Brazil vs. Japan - More Markets

Spread: Brazil (-2.5)

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $37,809.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

Elite sharp backing Japan

Proven high-volume sharp with 76% win rate and $1.8M lifetime profit is adding Japan across a broader six-market event thesis.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.8M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.56M deployed across 256 events.
  • This is part of a broader six-market position on the same event totaling $28.4K.

$2,198 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 76%

Profitable serial sports sharp

A highly profitable 77% win-rate sports bettor put $19.2k on Brazil -2.5 amid a huge pre-event volume spike, making this worth surfacing despite the price moving against the early fills.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $1.68M lifetime.
  • They put $19.2k on Brazil to win by 3+, with most of the position taken aggressively at 31¢.
  • Market volume spiked 793x versus normal activity before the match.

$19,228 on Brazil | Wallet win rate: 78%

83% serial sports winner

A proven serial cross-market sports bettor with an 83% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Japan to cover at 88¢.

  • This bettor has won 83% of 229 resolved trades and is up $7,062 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 40 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
  • A $2,100 buy at 88¢ shows confidence that Japan stays within 2 goals or wins.

$2,052 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 84%

Serial bettor in cover cluster

Three wallets bought $12.2k of Japan +2.5, including an 83% serial cross-market wallet; coordinated flow is notable though two wallets have weak lifetime records.

  • A bettor who wins 83% of resolved bets joined this position and is up about $7k lifetime.
  • Three wallets put $12.2k on the same side, over half of the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • Entry around 87¢ is a high-confidence bet that Brazil will not win by 3 or more.

$12,231 on Japan

83% serial sports winner

A proven serial cross-market sports bettor with an 83% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Japan to cover at 88¢.

  • This bettor has won 83% of 229 resolved trades and is up $7,062 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 40 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
  • A $2,100 buy at 88¢ shows confidence that Japan stays within 2 goals or wins.

$2,100 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdb85...152f Outcome 36352970, $38,692 (78% win rate)
  2. 0x198f...c419 Outcome 36352970, $10,100 (48% win rate)
  3. 0xf93f...f94b Outcome 36352970, $9,196 (72% win rate)
  4. 0xbcfb...efc0 Outcome 36352970, $5,000 (38% win rate)
  5. 0x95f5...779f Outcome 36352970, $4,100
  6. 0x160b...4296 Outcome 36352970, $3,568 (76% win rate)
  7. 0x8ac9...92d3 Outcome 36352970, $2,549
  8. 0x90ba...63f3 Outcome 36352970, $2,150 (80% win rate)
  9. 0x5672...7312 Outcome 36352970, $2,000 (60% win rate)
  10. 0x5eb0...5012 Outcome 36352970, $2,000 (65% win rate)

Related Theses

Germany wins by six plus

Covers 3 related markets

Goals, not Germany by two

Covers 5 related markets

Spain wins comfortably

Covers 3 related markets

Mexico and Ecuador draw

Covers 3 related markets

Iran keeps Belgium low-scoring

Covers 7 related markets

Brazil wins by four plus

Covers 3 related markets

Japan covers in three-goal game

Covers 6 related markets

Argentina wins low scoring match

Covers 5 related markets

Türkiye vs US match canceled

Covers 3 related markets

Morocco wins low scoring

Covers 7 related markets

Spread: Brazil (-2.5)

ResolvedBrazil vs. Japan - More Markets$37,809 tracked5 signalsSportsFIFA World CupGamesSoccer

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 29 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Brazil" if Brazil win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Japan". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Japan
92¢
70¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Brazil (-2.5)

2d ago

$2,198 on Japan at 90¢

Spread: Brazil (-2.5)

2d ago

$19,228 on Brazil at 23¢

Spread: Brazil (-2.5)

3d ago

$2,052 on Japan at 88¢

Spread: Brazil (-2.5)

3d ago

$12,231 on Japan at 87¢

Spread: Brazil (-2.5)

3d ago

$2,100 on Japan at 88¢

Related Theses