Part of: Grizzlies vs. Bucks

Spread: Bucks (-6.5)

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $649,304.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor fading Bucks

A proven profitable sports bettor with a 73% win rate is fading Bucks -6.5, and the sell converts into a copyable buy on Grizzlies at an implied 48¢.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 271 resolved markets and is up about $174k overall
  • The trade sells Bucks at 52¢, which translates to buying Grizzlies at 48¢
  • This wallet has traded across 459 events and more than $3.2M total, suggesting a repeatable edge

$2,417 on Grizzlies | Wallet win rate: 49%

73% win-rate sports bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a strong 73% win rate and $174k profit is taking a fresh position on a liquid NBA spread market.

  • This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $174k across 271 settled bets
  • They have traded 485 markets across 457 events, which points to a repeatable betting process rather than a one-off punt
  • Bought Bucks -6.5 at 64¢, implying they saw value even above the current 60¢ market price

$2,968 on Bucks | Wallet win rate: 49%

83% win-rate bettor

A highly proven sports bettor with an 83% win rate is active again, and even though this single bet is small and currently underwater, the wallet’s long-term cross-market track record makes it worth surfacing.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades across 803 markets and is up $35k lifetime.
  • They have a long repeat pattern across 597 events, which makes this more than a one-off bet.
  • They bought Bucks -6.5 at 79¢, while the market now sits near 67¢.

$994 on Bucks | Wallet win rate: 74%

82% winner in 5-wallet cluster

A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 82% win rate joined a 5-wallet, partly linked cluster buying Grizzlies minutes before resolution with over $127k of one-sided flow.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
  • Five wallets piled into Grizzlies for $127k total, with some linked funding behind the move.
  • The buy came 5 minutes before resolution at 46¢, suggesting they saw the spread as mispriced late.

$42,878 on Grizzlies | Wallet win rate: 80%

Sharp 5-wallet Grizzlies cluster

Five wallets, including one with an 82% win rate and nearly $2.0M profit, coordinated an $84k buy into Grizzlies while linked clusters on both sides poured large money into this game market.

  • A five-wallet cluster put $84k on Grizzlies, and two of the wallets share a funder.
  • One of the buyers wins 82% of resolved bets and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
  • This game drew an extreme volume surge, with market activity running about 2446x its normal level.

$84,427 on Grizzlies

Sharp bettor in 7-wallet cluster

A sharp wallet with an 83% win rate joined a 7-wallet, partly linked cluster that put over $558k on Bucks amid a massive pregame volume surge.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $160k on nearly $398k invested.
  • Seven wallets all bought Bucks, totaling about $558k, and four share the same funder.
  • They entered at 53¢ while the market now sits around 55¢, with a huge pregame volume spike backing the move.

$7,604 on Bucks | Wallet win rate: 58%

7-wallet Bucks cluster

Worth surfacing: a profitable high-volume sports trader joined a 7-wallet, partially linked cluster all taking the Bucks side during a major pregame volume surge.

  • Seven wallets all lined up on Bucks, putting in about $558k total, with 4 of them linked to the same funder.
  • This wallet has a 63% win rate across 2,685 resolved bets and is up about $56.6k lifetime.
  • The trade was a sell of Grizzlies at 46¢, which is equivalent to buying Bucks at 54¢ near the current market price.

$5,660 on Bucks | Wallet win rate: 59%

7-wallet Bucks cluster

A linked 7-wallet cluster poured over $558k into Bucks -6.5 right before resolution, led by a high-volume wallet with positive long-term profits, making this a strong coordinated conviction signal.

  • Seven wallets all bought Bucks together for $558k, and four share the same funder.
  • This wallet alone put in $487k at 54¢ in two buys, a very concentrated bet even in a liquid market.
  • Market volume ran 1,079x above normal, showing a sharp late surge of money behind the same side.

$486,783 on Bucks | Wallet win rate: 53%

Sharp bettor on Bucks

A profitable sharp bettor with an 83% win rate and strong edge bought Bucks -6.5 near market price, making this a credible copy-trade despite only one signal.

  • This bettor wins 83% of their resolved trades and is up $45k overall
  • They beat the odds by a wide margin, with a strong edge across 12 settled bets
  • They just put nearly $4k on Bucks -6.5 at 49¢ in a liquid market

$3,939 on Bucks | Wallet win rate: 88%

87% win-rate bettor

A proven sharp bettor with an exceptional 87% win rate and $428k profit is taking a fresh position on Bucks -6.5 at 49¢, which is notable even though the bet size is modest.

  • This bettor wins 87% of their trades across 333 resolved bets and is up $428k.
  • They bought Bucks -6.5 at 49¢, close to a coin flip price despite a long track record of beating similar odds.
  • The market is liquid and active, so this looks more like a sharp opinion than a random punt in a thin market.

$1,020 on Bucks | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0xbddf...c684 Outcome 50834432, $885,888 (93% win rate)
  2. 0x32ed...f960 Outcome 50834432, $15,877 (69% win rate)
  3. 0xbb6f...2653 Outcome 50834432, $4,018 (96% win rate)
  4. 0xe802...e465 Outcome 50834432, $987 (97% win rate)
  5. 0x1ab2...8fda Outcome 50834432, $896 (95% win rate)
  6. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 50834432, $433 (72% win rate)
  7. 0xedf7...8f79 Outcome 50834432, $349
  8. 0xbd86...b634 Outcome 50834432, $145
  9. 0x161a...4103 Outcome 50834432, $131 (93% win rate)
  10. 0xa85b...eb0e Outcome 50834432, $131 (89% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Bucks (-6.5)

ResolvedGrizzlies vs. Bucks$649,304 tracked11 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 5 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bucks" if the Bucks win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Grizzlies". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Grizzlies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

MEM
25-53
Fiserv Forum
MIL
31-47
Draft Kings
Spread: MIL -7.5O/U: 230.5ML: +225/-278
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Bucks (-6.5)

45d ago

$2,417 on Grizzlies at 48¢

Spread: Bucks (-6.5)

45d ago

$2,968 on Bucks at 64¢

Spread: Bucks (-6.5)

45d ago

$994 on Bucks at 79¢

Spread: Bucks (-6.5)

45d ago

$42,878 on Grizzlies at 46¢

Spread: Bucks (-6.5)

45d ago

$84,427 on Grizzlies at 48¢

Spread: Bucks (-6.5)

45d ago

$7,604 on Bucks at 53¢

Spread: Bucks (-6.5)

45d ago

$5,660 on Bucks at 54¢

Spread: Bucks (-6.5)

45d ago

$486,783 on Bucks at 54¢

Spread: Bucks (-6.5)

45d ago

$3,939 on Bucks at 49¢

Spread: Bucks (-6.5)

45d ago

$1,020 on Bucks at 49¢

Spread: Bucks (-6.5)

45d ago

$10,617 on Bucks at 56¢

Related Theses