Spread: Bucks (-9.5)

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,454.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

90% win-rate sharp

A proven high-volume sharp wallet with a 90% win rate bought Bucks -9.5 at 52¢ just before a fast move to 78%, suggesting strong edge and market-moving conviction.

  • This bettor wins 90% of 447 resolved trades and is up about $1.07M lifetime.
  • They bought Bucks -9.5 at 52¢, and the market quickly jumped to 78% after the trade.
  • This wallet has made profitable bets across 514 events, pointing to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit.

$1,044 on Bucks | Wallet win rate: 90%

Sharp cluster late on Bucks

Six wallets piled $32.5k into Bucks -9.5 minutes before resolution, led by a 90% win-rate bettor and accompanied by a sharp volume spike and fast price move.

  • A 90% win-rate bettor with $1.07M profit joined this buy wave at 52-53¢.
  • Six wallets bought $32.5k on Bucks -9.5 in a few minutes, pushing the price up about 16 points.
  • The bets landed 3 minutes before resolution, which is a strong signal in a live sports market.

$32,530 on Bucks

96% win-rate sports bettor

A proven sharp bettor with a 96% win rate and nearly $500k in profit made a concentrated $6.8k buy on Nets +9.5, taking most of the market's recent volume.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $488k across 116 settled positions
  • They bought Nets at 48¢, a $6.8k position that made up 68.5% of this market's recent volume
  • This wallet has traded 263 related markets across 218 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting edge

$6,818 on Nets | Wallet win rate: 93%

90% win-rate sports bettor

A small but notable sports bet from a wallet with an exceptional early record: 90% wins across 10 resolved positions while buying near fair-coin prices.

  • This bettor has won 9 of 10 resolved trades and is up about $6.1k on $15.3k invested
  • They bought Nets at 48¢ in a near 50/50 market, suggesting they see the spread as mispriced
  • The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like a deliberate directional bet rather than noise

$1,061 on Nets | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf988...d63b Outcome 98795404, $4,160 (84% win rate)
  2. 0xd106...c79c Outcome 98795404, $2,459 (53% win rate)
  3. 0x77e8...6854 Outcome 98795404, $2,211 (94% win rate)
  4. 0x7ea5...de7b Outcome 98795404, $974 (68% win rate)
  5. 0x2c1b...7768 Outcome 98795404, $588 (55% win rate)
  6. 0x50bd...bd4d Outcome 98795404, $285
  7. 0x46b1...3170 Outcome 98795404, $227
  8. 0x9e70...14ba Outcome 98795404, $139
  9. 0xe6b5...7474 Outcome 72168349, $107
  10. 0x41c7...2377 Outcome 98795404, $107

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Bucks (-9.5)

Resolved$41,454 tracked4 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 10 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bucks" if the Bucks win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Nets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

BKN
20-61
Fiserv Forum
MIL
32-49
Draft Kings
Spread: MIL -10.5O/U: 218.5ML: +380/-500
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Bucks (-9.5)

8d ago

$1,044 on Bucks at 52¢

Spread: Bucks (-9.5)

9d ago

$32,530 on Bucks at 51¢

Spread: Bucks (-9.5)

9d ago

$6,818 on Nets at 48¢

Spread: Bucks (-9.5)

9d ago

$1,061 on Nets at 48¢

Related Theses