What does San Lorenzo -1.5 mean in this prediction market?

San Lorenzo -1.5 means CA San Lorenzo de Almagro must win the match by at least 2 goals for that side of the market to resolve as the winner.

When does the San Lorenzo vs Recoleta spread market resolve?

The market is tied to the Copa Sudamericana match scheduled for May 26 at 8:30 PM ET and is expected to resolve after the official final score is published.

What happens if San Lorenzo wins by exactly one goal?

If San Lorenzo wins by only one goal, they do not cover the -1.5 spread, so the market resolves to Recoleta FC.

What happens if the match is postponed or canceled?

If the match is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed. If it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves 50–50.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking on this market?

PolySpotter is tracking $16,082 in smart money across 2 signals, including a linked profitable sports cluster and activity from a profitable whale in a thin market.

Part of: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC - More Markets

Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)

This Polymarket spread market asks whether CA San Lorenzo de Almagro will beat Recoleta FC by 2 or more goals in their Copa Sudamericana match scheduled for May 26 at 8:30 PM ET. It resolves to San Lorenzo if they cover the -1.5 spread, or to Recoleta if San Lorenzo win by 1, draw, or lose. PolySpotter is tracking $16,082 in smart money activity across 2 signals, including alerts from a profitable sports cluster and a whale in a thin market.

In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for May 26 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA San Lorenzo de Almagro" if CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Recoleta FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on conmebol.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,082.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Copa Sudamericana

Notable Trades

Profitable linked cluster

Three wallets, including two linked by a shared funder, bought $10.4k of Recoleta FC amid a huge pre-event volume spike, with all wallets showing positive lifetime P&L.

Three wallets bought the same side for $10.4k, with two funded by the same source.
The wallets are experienced and profitable, including one up $1.16M lifetime.
Market volume spiked sharply before the match, suggesting concentrated conviction at 58¢.

$10,403 on Recoleta FC

Profitable whale in thin market

Profitable high-volume wallet placed a $5.7k pre-game San Lorenzo spread bet that dwarfs recent activity on a thin market during a major volume spike.

This bettor is up $2.4M lifetime across 325 resolved trades.
Their $5.7k buy was about 2.8x the market’s entire 24h volume.
Trading activity spiked sharply before kickoff, suggesting fresh conviction on San Lorenzo -1.5.

$5,679 on CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | Wallet win rate: 65%