Part of: Canada vs. Qatar - More Markets

Spread: Canada (-3.5)

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $43,516.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

78% winner fading favorite

A highly profitable 78% lifetime bettor and serial cross-market trader is fading Canada after a huge pre-game price surge.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $1.42M lifetime.
  • They have traded 284 events with $2.25M tracked, making this a proven cross-market sports bettor.
  • They are backing Qatar to cover after Canada surged 78 points today.

$1,210 on Qatar | Wallet win rate: 78%

Elite bettor backs Qatar

Elite 95% win-rate wallet bought Qatar spread despite the market moving hard toward Canada, with supporting one-sided flow and a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $388K lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought the same Qatar side for $39K total, alongside a 111x volume spike.
  • The market has moved against them, so Qatar is now cheaper than this bettor’s 33¢ entry.

$1,320 on Qatar | Wallet win rate: 96%

New whale in Qatar cluster

High-score contrarian Qatar bet from a 1-day-old repeat whale, reinforced by one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike, though the market has since moved sharply against it.

  • A 1-day-old wallet has already placed $104k in flagged bets and is slightly profitable.
  • Three wallets bought the same Qatar side for $39k during a 111x volume spike.
  • The market has moved against them, with Qatar dropping from this 37¢ entry to 16¢.

$6,319 on Qatar | Wallet win rate: 54%

Linked wallets chase Canada

High-conviction Canada buying from four wallets, including linked funding, coincides with a huge volume spike and sharp price move, though there is notable opposing Qatar flow.

  • Four wallets bought $34.7k of Canada, with two wallets sharing a funder.
  • Canada jumped from about 67¢ to 86¢ as volume spiked 89x above normal.
  • Two profitable high-volume wallets joined the Canada side, including one up $4.0M lifetime.

$34,668 on Canada

Top Holders

  1. 0xc0f8...ae2e Outcome 85887147, $31,923 (70% win rate)
  2. 0x7300...e52c Outcome 85887147, $19,626
  3. 0xfd99...76ef Outcome 85887147, $7,000 (73% win rate)
  4. 0x3587...23ad Outcome 85887147, $6,163 (66% win rate)
  5. 0x4337...8882 Outcome 85887147, $5,555 (75% win rate)
  6. 0xbb0b...3790 Outcome 85887147, $4,365 (76% win rate)
  7. 0x3da8...80c3 Outcome 85887147, $4,000 (96% win rate)
  8. 0x6ede...4284 Outcome 85887147, $3,000 (90% win rate)
  9. 0xc2f2...0ff7 Outcome 85887147, $2,080
  10. 0x5e39...352c Outcome 85887147, $2,000 (72% win rate)

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Spread: Canada (-3.5)

ResolvedCanada vs. Qatar - More Markets$43,516 tracked4 signalsFIFA World CupSoccerGamesSports

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 18 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Canada" if Canada win the game by 4 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Qatar". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Spread: Canada (-3.5)

13d ago

$1,210 on Qatar at 15¢

Spread: Canada (-3.5)

13d ago

$1,320 on Qatar at 33¢

Spread: Canada (-3.5)

13d ago

$6,319 on Qatar at 37¢

Spread: Canada (-3.5)

13d ago

$34,668 on Canada at 86¢

Related Theses