Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $37,701.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Sharp 3-wallet spread cluster

Three experienced, profitable sports traders all piled into Raptors against the spread as volume surged and the price moved sharply, making this coordinated flow worth surfacing.

  • Three wallets all bet Raptors, including two bettors with 71-74% win rates and $2.7M+ combined profit.
  • The market saw an 11.4x volume spike, and Cavaliers odds fell 28.5 points in a day as this flow came in.
  • One wallet sold Cavaliers at 46¢ and 36¢, which is equivalent to buying Raptors at 54¢ and 64¢ before Raptors moved to 77¢.

$10,562 on Raptors

95% win-rate sharp bettor

A proven sharp bettor with a 95% win rate and $340k profit is backing Raptors +3.5, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 95% of their trades and is up $340k across 372 resolved positions
  • They have made $300k+ across 100+ events, which suggests this is a repeatable edge rather than a one-off streak
  • They bought Raptors at 57¢, implying value even after the market moved 7 points against Cavaliers today

$1,013 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 95%

90% win-rate sharp bettor

A very high-performing wallet with a 90% win rate and nearly $1.5M profit bought Cavaliers -3.5 at 59¢, and the market has already moved up to 64¢.

  • This bettor wins 90% of their trades and is up $1.49M across 505 resolved bets
  • They bought Cavaliers -3.5 at 59¢, and the market is already up to 64¢
  • This wallet has traded 750 markets across 545 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting edge

$1,274 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 90%

Repeat new wallet whale

A 5-day-old wallet that has already triggered 163 large-bet alerts is still sizing into Raptors during a major pregame volume spike, suggesting an aggressive repeat bettor worth watching despite limited resolved history.

  • This 5-day-old wallet has already made 163 flagged large bets totaling about $506k
  • The bet came during a 49x pregame volume spike, with Raptors bought at 48¢ and now trading near 54¢
  • This is fresh positioning rather than profit-taking, and the wallet is still deploying meaningful size early in its lifecycle

$1,723 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 33%

Sharp sports bettor buying Cavaliers

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong 74% win rate and $180k profit bought Cavaliers at 54¢ during a notable pregame volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up about $180k across 281 settled bets
  • They have traded 601 markets across 550 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • The buy came at 54¢ during a 29.5x pregame volume spike, suggesting informed momentum into tipoff

$5,917 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 74%

83% win-rate live bettor

A proven sharp sports bettor with an 83% win rate made a last-minute $2.8k buy on Raptors +3.5 at 47¢ just 1.6 minutes before resolution, a pattern consistent with real-time edge in live markets.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $80.6k on nearly $194k invested
  • They bought Raptors +3.5 at 47¢ just 1.6 minutes before resolution, suggesting a strong live-game read
  • Entry at 47¢ in a tight 52/48 market offers a clear copy level without chasing a big price spike

$2,775 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 78%

97% win-rate sports bettor

A bettor with an exceptional 97% win rate and nearly $98k profit is buying Cavaliers -3.5 at 54¢, making this a sharp single-wallet sports bet worth surfacing despite modest size.

  • This bettor wins 97% of their resolved trades and is up nearly $98k overall.
  • They bought Cavaliers -3.5 at 54¢, close to their usual winning entry range of 56¢.
  • The market is liquid and active, so this looks like a deliberate sharp bet rather than a random move in a thin book.

$2,270 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 97%

84% win-rate sports bettor

A proven sharp sports bettor with an 84% win rate bought Cavaliers -3.5 into an extreme pre-game volume surge, making this small but credible signal worth surfacing.

  • This bettor wins 84% of their trades across 219 resolved markets and is up about $27k.
  • They bought Cavaliers -3.5 at 53¢, a near-even price that suggests they see the line as mispriced.
  • The market saw a 617x jump in activity before tipoff, which adds weight even though this was only a $1.1k bet.

$1,084 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 84%

Sharp 4-wallet Cavaliers cluster

Four wallets piled into Cavaliers spread for $11k, including one bettor up $6.4M with a 72% win rate and another 74% serial cross-market trader, making this coordinated sports flow worth surfacing.

  • Two proven sports bettors are in this group, including one with a 72% win rate and $6.4M profit across 3,517 resolved bets.
  • Four wallets all bought Cavaliers in a short burst for $11.1k, a strong one-sided signal on the spread.
  • One entry hit at 48¢ and the market is now 54%, showing early buyers already moved the price.

$11,083 on Cavaliers

Top Holders

  1. 0x204f...5e14 Outcome 14365206, $10,573 (55% win rate)
  2. 0x2005...75ea Outcome 14365206, $10,237 (54% win rate)
  3. 0x9cb9...32f2 Outcome 14365206, $10,000 (38% win rate)
  4. 0xacb2...b989 Outcome 63275101, $9,987 (45% win rate)
  5. 0xd106...c79c Outcome 14365206, $9,676 (53% win rate)
  6. 0x021c...232f Outcome 14365206, $8,180 (99% win rate)
  7. 0xa2cc...0cbc Outcome 14365206, $6,414 (53% win rate)
  8. 0x6814...a9e7 Outcome 14365206, $6,352
  9. 0xa38a...821d Outcome 63275101, $6,302 (56% win rate)
  10. 0xabf4...43f7 Outcome 14365206, $5,462 (50% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

Resolved$37,701 tracked9 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 26 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cavaliers" if the Cavaliers win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

CLE
89
2-2
Final
TOR
93
2-2
Q1: 17-14Q2: 19-24Q3: 22-22Q4: 31-33
Draft Kings
Spread: CLE -4.5O/U: 218.5ML: -185/+154
Win Prob
0%
Last Play
Game End
Q4 0:00 · CLE 89-93 TOR

Notable Trades

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

4h ago

$10,562 on Raptors at 60¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

5h ago

$1,013 on Raptors at 57¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

5h ago

$1,274 on Cavaliers at 59¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

6h ago

$1,723 on Raptors at 48¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

6h ago

$5,917 on Cavaliers at 54¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

6h ago

$2,775 on Raptors at 47¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

7h ago

$2,270 on Cavaliers at 54¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

7h ago

$1,084 on Cavaliers at 53¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

6h ago

$11,083 on Cavaliers at 54¢

Related Theses