Part of: Cavaliers vs. Raptors

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,568.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Pro sports sharp backing Raptors

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 71% win rate and $2.44M P&L is betting Raptors +3.5 during a sharp pregame volume spike, making this a credible follow signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor has won 2,754 of 3,873 resolved trades and is up $2.44M lifetime.
  • They trade across many related markets with a 71% hit rate, which points to a repeatable sports edge.
  • They bought Raptors at 83¢ during a 37x pregame volume spike as this line moved hard against Cleveland.

$3,865 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 67%

Proven cross-market sports sharp

A high-volume serial sports trader with a 71% win rate and $2.44M profit is building a same-event thesis across multiple markets, making this a follow-worthy sharp bet despite modest size.

  • This bettor has won 2,754 of 3,873 resolved trades and is up $2.44M overall
  • They have traded 976 markets across 408 events, which points to a repeatable sports betting edge rather than a one-off punt
  • They bought Cavaliers -3.5 at 45¢ while the market quickly fell to 40¢, so the follow is only attractive if entry stays close to their price

$1,703 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 67%

Profitable serial timer cluster

Three wallets piled into Cavaliers -3.5 in the final minute before resolution, led by a highly profitable serial near-resolution bettor with over $1.38M in lifetime P&L.

  • A bettor with 71 late-game bets across 46 markets and $1.38M lifetime profit joined this buy with 36 seconds left.
  • Three wallets all bought Cavaliers -3.5 at 47-48¢ in the final minute, showing coordinated late conviction.
  • The price was still near a coin flip, so entry at 47-48¢ suggests they saw Cavaliers covering as better than 50-50.

$4,195 on Cavaliers

Profitable serial live bettor

Surface this because a proven high-volume live bettor with $1.38M lifetime profit made another near-resolution spread bet, a pattern that has repeated successfully across dozens of markets.

  • This wallet has made 70 near-resolution bets across 45 markets and is up $1.38M lifetime
  • The bet landed 0.6 minutes before resolution, a strong pattern for this trader in live sports markets
  • They bought Cavaliers spread around 47-51¢, a meaningful position even in a liquid market

$2,898 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 53%

Profitable new wallet betting big

A 5-day-old wallet with repeat large bets, early profit, and an 83% win rate is making another meaningful buy, which makes this a strong new-wallet conviction signal despite the liquid market.

  • This 5-day-old wallet has already made 30 flagged bets totaling $126k
  • It has started 5 wins in 6 resolved bets and is up $27k so far
  • Bought Cavaliers -3.5 at 47¢, a cheap entry for a bettor showing early edge

$2,521 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 82%

86% win-rate sports bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with an 86% win rate and strong historical profit made a fresh $9.8k buy on Raptors +3.5 in a reasonably liquid NBA spread market.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up about $171k overall
  • They have traded 169 markets across 136 events, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet
  • They just put $9.8k on Raptors at 53¢, a meaningful position in a market priced near a coin flip

$9,756 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 91%

99% win-rate bettor

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 99% win rate and strong cross-market history just bought Raptors +3.5 at 53¢, making this a clear copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 74 of 75 resolved trades and is up about $72k lifetime
  • They trade heavily across sports markets too: 84 markets across 76 events with the same 99% hit rate
  • They bought Raptors +3.5 at 53¢, a near coin-flip price that suggests they see value on the underdog spread

$1,629 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0x8a6c...0b3f Outcome 51278748, $21,254 (50% win rate)
  2. 0x0dcf...c556 Outcome 51278748, $10,469 (94% win rate)
  3. 0xe169...4653 Outcome 51278748, $5,507 (77% win rate)
  4. 0xf721...ecf5 Outcome 51278748, $5,364 (82% win rate)
  5. 0x9175...d70f Outcome 51278748, $4,270
  6. 0x32ed...f960 Outcome 51278748, $4,085 (67% win rate)
  7. 0x93bc...8ca3 Outcome 51278748, $3,430 (79% win rate)
  8. 0x4df3...788f Outcome 51278748, $3,233 (70% win rate)
  9. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 51278748, $2,896
  10. 0x6814...a9e7 Outcome 51278748, $1,716 (56% win rate)

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Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

ResolvedCavaliers vs. Raptors$26,568 tracked7 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 23 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cavaliers" if the Cavaliers win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

CLE
52-30
Scotiabank Arena
TOR
46-36
Draft Kings
Spread: CLE -2.5O/U: 221.5ML: -148/+124
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

44d ago

$3,865 on Raptors at 83¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

44d ago

$1,703 on Cavaliers at 45¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

44d ago

$4,195 on Cavaliers at 48¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

44d ago

$2,898 on Cavaliers at 49¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

45d ago

$2,521 on Cavaliers at 47¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

45d ago

$9,756 on Raptors at 53¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

45d ago

$1,629 on Raptors at 53¢

Related Theses