Part of: Pistons vs. Cavaliers

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 9 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cavaliers" if the Cavaliers win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pistons". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pistons". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $79,782.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

99% sharp joins Cavaliers cluster

Surface this: a highly profitable 99% win-rate wallet bought Cavaliers, alongside one-sided flow from 4 wallets totaling $23.7k.

  • This bettor has won 170 of 172 resolved positions and is up $365k lifetime.
  • Four wallets are all buying Cavaliers, with $23.7k moving the same way.
  • Entry at 52¢ is near even-money, while the wallet’s history suggests a strong sports edge.

$1,354 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 99%

78% winner backs Cavaliers

Sharp sports wallet with a 78% resolved win rate and strong P&L bought $10.9k of Cavaliers alongside one-sided flow from 4 wallets.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $238.7k lifetime.
  • They have a long sports-style track record across 27 events with $481.7k in cross-market bets.
  • Four wallets bought the same Cavaliers side, totaling $23.7k of one-sided flow.

$10,920 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 78%

Sharp wallets buying Pistons

Three profitable sports-heavy wallets bought the Pistons spread together, including wallets with 80% and 90% resolved win rates, though the price has moved against them since entry.

  • Three profitable wallets all bought Pistons +4.5, totaling $6.6k in the same direction.
  • Two of the bettors have very strong records: one wins 80% of resolved bets, another wins 90%.
  • They entered at 53–55¢, while the market is now around 38¢, offering a much cheaper follow entry.

$6,616 on Pistons

Elite sharps in 8-wallet cluster

Eight wallets are aligned on Cavaliers, including two serial cross-market traders with 96%+ resolved win rates and strong profits.

  • Two elite bettors are backing this side; they win 98% and 96% of resolved bets and are up $332k combined.
  • Eight wallets put $26.5k on the same outcome, mostly entering around 52¢.
  • The trade is on a liquid NBA spread, so the signal comes from proven bettors rather than thin-market noise.

$26,487 on Cavaliers

97% winner backs Pistons

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 31/32 resolved record placed a large $34K buy on Pistons, reinforced by same-side flow from three wallets.

  • This bettor has won 31 of 32 resolved bets and is up $1.09M lifetime.
  • They put $34.4K on Pistons at 49¢ in a very liquid NBA spread market.
  • Three wallets bought the same side for $38.3K total, adding support to the position.

$34,406 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

  1. 0xbddf...c684 Pistons, $295,452 (95% win rate)
  2. 0xa2cc...0cbc Cavaliers, $229,959 (53% win rate)
  3. 0x3de4...b032 Cavaliers, $158,824 (73% win rate)
  4. 0x8a6c...0b3f Cavaliers, $115,385 (48% win rate)
  5. 0xa5ea...d96a Pistons, $111,074 (57% win rate)
  6. 0xf28e...cab2 Pistons, $82,103 (90% win rate)
  7. 0x1117...3532 Cavaliers, $80,000 (60% win rate)
  8. 0xac25...433f Pistons, $74,184 (97% win rate)
  9. 0xb652...2db4 Pistons, $60,932 (41% win rate)
  10. 0x6ac5...4b6e Cavaliers, $50,000 (43% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

ResolvedPistons vs. Cavaliers$79,782 tracked5 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball
Cavaliers
68¢
Pistons
33¢

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 9 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cavaliers" if the Cavaliers win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pistons". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pistons". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

DET
69
2-0
Live
Q3 4:04
CLE
75
0-2
Q1: 30-32Q2: 18-32Q3: 21-11Q4: 0-0
Draft Kings
Spread: CLE -4.5O/U: 211.5ML: +160/-192
Win Prob
21%
Poly: 68¢
Last Play
CLE Timeout
Q3 4:04 · DET 69-75 CLE
Price History — “Cavaliers
61¢
55¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

2h ago

$1,354 on Cavaliers at 52¢

52¢68¢16¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

2h ago

$10,920 on Cavaliers at 52¢

52¢68¢16¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

2h ago

$6,616 on Pistons at 55¢

55¢33¢22¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

5h ago

$26,487 on Cavaliers at 52¢

52¢68¢16¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

5h ago

$34,406 on Pistons at 49¢

49¢33¢16¢

Related Theses