Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 26 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cavaliers" if the Cavaliers win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,412.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

91% winner in 4-wallet cluster

Four wallets piled into Raptors against the spread, led by a standout bettor with a 91% win rate and nearly $1.0M profit, creating a credible coordinated sports signal despite mixed quality across the other wallets.

  • A bettor who wins 91% of their trades and is up $959k joined this Raptors bet.
  • Four wallets bought the same side within minutes, totaling $5.6k of one-sided flow.
  • They entered around 52-57¢, a near coin-flip price on a market with only $8.6k liquidity.

$5,585 on Raptors

98% win-rate sports bettor

A bettor with an exceptional 98% win rate and strong edge is taking Raptors +4.5 at 52¢, making this a sharp sports trade worth following despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades with $32.8k profit on about $105k invested
  • They bought Raptors +4.5 at 52¢, a near coin-flip price that suggests they see the spread as mispriced
  • The market is liquid and active, so this looks more like a sharp opinion than a random thin-market punt

$999 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 98%

Sharp cluster on Cavaliers

Three wallets piled into Cavaliers -4.5 for $15.9k during a 43.8x volume spike, including two highly profitable bettors with exceptional long-run records.

  • Two proven bettors in this cluster have made $1.5M and $6.4M with 90% and 72% win rates across 505 and 3,517 resolved bets.
  • Three wallets bought Cavaliers -4.5 within minutes for $15.9k total, showing coordinated conviction rather than a lone bet.
  • They got in at 50-52¢ and the market has already moved to 56¢, confirming immediate price follow-through.

$15,904 on Cavaliers

75% win-rate sports bettor

A profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 75% win rate and $278k P&L is taking the Raptors side at 53¢ in an NBA spread market.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $278k across about $769k invested
  • They have bet across 50 markets in 48 events, which suggests a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt
  • They bought Raptors +4.5 at 53¢, a meaningful position even in a fairly liquid $32k market

$4,924 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9495...9a27 Raptors, $66,080 (33% win rate)
  2. 0xa8e0...ad50 Raptors, $51,071 (51% win rate)
  3. 0x8a6c...0b3f Raptors, $47,385 (39% win rate)
  4. 0x3b5c...126e Cavaliers, $44,595 (78% win rate)
  5. 0xabb8...bba3 Raptors, $36,396 (49% win rate)
  6. 0x1b4d...e246 Cavaliers, $32,495 (69% win rate)
  7. 0x6ac5...4b6e Raptors, $30,965 (43% win rate)
  8. 0xfecb...19ba Raptors, $28,419 (61% win rate)
  9. 0x2a2c...9bc1 Cavaliers, $24,325 (51% win rate)
  10. 0xf070...ac55 Raptors, $22,222 (24% win rate)

Related Theses

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Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

Resolved$27,412 tracked4 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball
Cavaliers
62¢
Raptors
38¢

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 26 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cavaliers" if the Cavaliers win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

CLE
36
2-1
Live
Q2 0:00
TOR
38
1-2
Q1: 17-14Q2: 19-24Q3: 0-0Q4: 0-0
Draft Kings
Spread: CLE -4.5O/U: 218.5ML: -185/+154
Win Prob
39%
Poly: 62¢
Last Play
Period End
Q2 0:00 · CLE 36-38 TOR

Notable Trades

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

38m ago

$5,585 on Raptors at 54¢

54¢38¢16¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

1h ago

$999 on Raptors at 52¢

52¢38¢14¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

18m ago

$15,904 on Cavaliers at 51¢

51¢62¢11¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

4h ago

$4,924 on Raptors at 53¢

53¢38¢15¢

Related Theses