Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 1 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Cavaliers" if the Cavaliers win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,508.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Fresh wallet, third big bet

A 21-hour-old wallet is making its third notable large bet, buying $2.9k of Cavaliers spread shares at 49¢ on a liquid NBA market.

  • A 21-hour-old wallet has already made 3 large flagged bets totaling $8.7k.
  • This bettor put $2.9k on Cavaliers at 49¢, taking a near-even-money spread position.
  • The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like deliberate sports conviction rather than a thin-market push.

$2,925 on Cavaliers

81% serial cross-market sharp

A highly profitable 81% win-rate wallet with a long serial cross-market history placed a meaningful $8.6k BUY on Cavaliers at 48¢.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $399k lifetime.
  • They have traded 70 markets across 66 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 48¢ is below even odds, so the bet pays about 2.1x if Cavaliers cover.

$8,583 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1117...3532 Raptors, $40,000 (59% win rate)
  2. 0x16bb...8492 Cavaliers, $17,881 (81% win rate)
  3. 0xf09a...a371 Cavaliers, $17,100 (100% win rate)
  4. 0xbed3...e972 Cavaliers, $5,970
  5. 0x7bec...07a8 Raptors, $5,000 (55% win rate)
  6. 0x4df3...788f Cavaliers, $4,816 (71% win rate)
  7. 0x4852...67c4 Raptors, $2,273 (50% win rate)
  8. 0x59e5...7a2b Cavaliers, $2,000 (87% win rate)
  9. 0xabf5...cfeb Raptors, $1,500 (53% win rate)
  10. 0x41b4...de82 Raptors, $1,500 (64% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

Resolved$11,508 tracked2 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball
Cavaliers
51¢
Raptors
50¢

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 1 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Cavaliers" if the Cavaliers win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

CLE
52-30
Scotiabank Arena
TOR
46-36
Draft Kings
Spread: CLE -4.5O/U: 218.5ML: -192/+160
Win Prob
Poly: 51¢
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

1h ago

$2,925 on Cavaliers at 49¢

49¢51¢2¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

2h ago

$8,583 on Cavaliers at 48¢

48¢51¢3¢

Related Theses

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | PolySpotter