Part of: Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $84,634.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Proven sharp bettor re-entering

A very high-volume, highly profitable cross-market bettor bought Cavaliers at 51¢ and the market is already up to 60¢, making this a modest but still notable sharp-trader signal despite only one detection source.

  • This bettor wins 73% of 3,066 resolved trades and is up $5.7M lifetime
  • They bought Cavaliers at 51¢ and the market has already moved to 60¢
  • This wallet has traded 950 markets across 779 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet

$1,223 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 69%

Pro bettor re-enters Raptors

A highly profitable bettor with a 73% win rate reopened a Raptors position in this spread market after previously trading it, making this a modest but still noteworthy signal despite only one detection flag.

  • This bettor has won 2,239 of 3,060 resolved trades and is up $5.7M lifetime
  • They bought Raptors spread shares at 44¢ after previously trading this side, showing renewed conviction
  • The market moved hard today, with Cavaliers up 16 points in implied odds, so this bet fades recent momentum

$1,172 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 69%

96% win-rate sports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 96% win rate is buying Cavaliers spread shares at 61¢, and the price has already moved up to 66¢.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $186k across 269 settled bets
  • They trade across related markets at scale, with $58k bet in 3 markets from the same event
  • Bought Cavaliers -8.5 at 61¢ and the market is already up to 66¢

$1,206 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 95%

91% win-rate sharp bettor

A proven sharp bettor with a 91% win rate and $1.33M profit bought Cavaliers -8.5 at 55¢ before the market moved up to 66%, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $1.33M lifetime
  • They bought Cavaliers -8.5 at 55¢, and the market has already moved to 66¢
  • This wallet has traded 735 markets across 533 events, showing a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit

$2,247 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 89%

98% win-rate bettor

A bettor with an extraordinary 98% win rate and $5.6M profit is taking the Raptors side into a pre-game volume surge, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 98% of their trades and is up $5.6M across 365 resolved positions
  • They bought Raptors at 46¢ as market activity spiked nearly 247x above normal before the game
  • Entry at 46¢ means the trade only needs the Raptors to keep it within 8 points to pay off

$1,968 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 99%

Sharp live sports bettor

A high-volume live sports bettor with a strong 74% win rate made a $69k buy on Cavaliers -8.5 just 3.3 minutes before resolution, aligning with a massive market volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades across 281 bets and is up about $180k lifetime
  • They put $69k on Cavaliers -8.5 just 3.3 minutes before resolution, suggesting a live-game read
  • Their bet was 50% of the market’s 24h volume and hit during a 495x volume spike

$69,270 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 53%

Late profitable sports bettor

This looks worth surfacing because a very large, historically profitable sports trader bought Raptors +8.5 just 3 minutes before resolution while betting across multiple related game markets.

  • This wallet is up $1.3M overall on nearly 4,000 resolved bets, even with a modest 48% hit rate.
  • They bought Raptors at 46¢ just 3 minutes before the market resolved, a timing pattern that can matter in live sports.
  • They also placed $20.3k across 3 markets tied to the same game, showing a broader game-level view rather than a one-off bet.

$2,223 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 48%

Fresh wallet, repeat NBA whale

A 7-hour-old wallet has already made five large bets totaling $25k, and this latest $5.3k buy into a mainstream NBA spread looks like deliberate early positioning rather than random activity.

  • This 7-hour-old wallet has already made 5 large flagged bets totaling about $25k
  • The trader just put $5.3k on Cavaliers -8.5 at 54¢, a meaningful size even in a liquid market
  • A brand-new wallet betting this aggressively right away is often worth tracking for repeat conviction

$5,325 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0xbddf...c684 Outcome 77605515, $115,408 (90% win rate)
  2. 0x37c1...c53a Outcome 77605515, $16,473 (67% win rate)
  3. 0x6323...9fee Outcome 77605515, $5,474 (97% win rate)
  4. 0x84cb...28ad Outcome 77605515, $4,277 (99% win rate)
  5. 0x21f3...35e3 Outcome 77605515, $3,985 (74% win rate)
  6. 0x4df3...788f Outcome 77605515, $3,392 (70% win rate)
  7. 0x0d13...92f3 Outcome 77605515, $2,293 (88% win rate)
  8. 0xb2fe...7558 Outcome 77605515, $2,000 (85% win rate)
  9. 0x5e30...acbf Outcome 77605515, $1,530 (75% win rate)
  10. 0x95b7...d633 Outcome 77605515, $1,501

Related Theses

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Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

ResolvedRaptors vs. Cavaliers$84,634 tracked8 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 20 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cavaliers" if the Cavaliers win the game by 9 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

TOR
46-36
Rocket Arena
CLE
52-30
Draft Kings
Spread: CLE -9.5O/U: 221.5ML: +350/-455
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

45d ago

$1,223 on Cavaliers at 51¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

45d ago

$1,172 on Raptors at 44¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

45d ago

$1,206 on Cavaliers at 61¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

45d ago

$2,247 on Cavaliers at 55¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

45d ago

$1,968 on Raptors at 46¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

45d ago

$69,270 on Cavaliers at 55¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

45d ago

$2,223 on Raptors at 46¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

45d ago

$5,325 on Cavaliers at 54¢

Related Theses