What does CD Guadalajara -1.5 mean in this prediction market?

CD Guadalajara -1.5 means Guadalajara must win by at least 2 goals for that side of the market to resolve Yes. If they win by 1, draw, or lose, the market resolves to Club Puebla instead.

When does this Guadalajara vs Puebla market resolve?

This market is tied to the Liga MX match scheduled for April 18 and is expected to resolve after the official final score is published. The listed resolution time is April 19, 2026 UTC, though settlement depends on the match being completed.

What happens if the match is postponed or canceled?

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the match is played and completed. If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50–50.

What score outcomes make Club Puebla the winning side?

Club Puebla is the winning side for this spread market if Guadalajara fail to win by 2 or more goals. That includes a Puebla win, a draw, or a Guadalajara win by exactly 1 goal.

Are there any smart money signals on this market?

PolySpotter is tracking limited but notable activity here, including one smart money signal and about $1,373 in tracked smart money. Recent alerts mention a 95% win-rate sharp and a new wallet backing the underdog.

Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)

This Polymarket spread market asks whether CD Guadalajara will beat Club Puebla by 2 or more goals in their Liga MX match on April 18. If Guadalajara win by exactly 1 goal, draw, or lose, the market resolves to Club Puebla; if they win by 2+ goals, it resolves to CD Guadalajara. The market resolves from the official final score on ligamx.net, with completion expected after the match concludes.

In the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for April 18 at 9:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Guadalajara" if CD Guadalajara win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Club Puebla". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on ligamx.net. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,284.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Liga MX

Notable Trades

95% win-rate sharp

A proven sharp bettor with a 95% win rate and $374k profit is taking Club Puebla at 49¢ in a spread market, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $374k across 250 settled positions.
They have done this across 401 markets and 371 events, so this is a repeatable track record rather than a one-off hit.
Bought Club Puebla at 49¢, a near-even price that suggests they see the spread as mispriced.

$1,373 on Club Puebla | Wallet win rate: 95%

New wallet backing underdog

A brand-new wallet is making another sizable bet against the favorite in a moderately thin spread market, which suggests fresh conviction worth monitoring despite no track record yet.

This wallet is less than 6 hours old and has already been flagged twice for large bets totaling $5.7k
They bought Club Puebla at 49¢, a near-even price against a market leaning slightly to Guadalajara
This single $2.9k trade is meaningful versus roughly $10.3k of 24-hour volume, showing real conviction

$2,912 on Club Puebla